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NM-cupen
0–7
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tromso 1 1 0 0 +8 3
2 Ranheim 1 1 0 0 +7 3
3 Lillestrom 1 1 0 0 +7 3
4 Brann 1 1 0 0 +7 3
5 Ham-Kam 1 1 0 0 +7 3
6 Jerv 1 1 0 0 +7 3
7 Rosenborg 1 1 0 0 +6 3
8 Flekkerøy 1 1 0 0 +6 3
9 Start 1 1 0 0 +6 3
10 Odd 1 1 0 0 +5 3
11 Viking 1 1 0 0 +5 3
12 Sogndal 1 1 0 0 +5 3
13 Mjondalen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 hodd 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Valerenga 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Stromsgodset 1 1 0 0 +4 3
17 Skeid 1 1 0 0 +4 3
18 Brattvåg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
19 Vidar 1 1 0 0 +4 3
20 Bodo/Glimt 1 1 0 0 +4 3
21 Stjørdals-Blink 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Øygarden 1 1 0 0 +3 3
23 Sandefjord 1 1 0 0 +3 3
24 Kristiansund 1 1 0 0 +3 3
25 Sandnes ULF 1 1 0 0 +3 3
26 Ull/Kisa 1 1 0 0 +3 3
27 Ullern 1 1 0 0 +3 3
28 Aalesund 1 1 0 0 +3 3
29 KFUM Oslo 1 1 0 0 +3 3
30 Tromsdalen Uil 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Egersund 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Haugesund 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 Strindheim 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 Sotra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 Brumunddal 1 1 0 0 +2 3
36 Molde 1 1 0 0 +2 3
37 Alta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
38 Bryne 1 1 0 0 +2 3
39 Nardo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
40 Os 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Kjelsås 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Arendal 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Stabaek 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Moss 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Kvik Halden 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Levanger 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Harstad 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Eidsvold 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Elverum 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Flint 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Kongsvinger 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 Notodden 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 Bjarg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
54 Skjervøy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
55 Fredrikstad 1 1 0 0 +1 3
56 Frigg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
57 Byåsen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
58 Træff 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Vard 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Junkeren 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Mjølner 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Frøya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Fana 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Gjøvik-Lyn 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Raufoss 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Follo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Grorud 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Fram 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Ørn Horten 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Asane 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Gjelleråsen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Pors Grenland 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Lyn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Sprint-Jeløy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Bærum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Trygg/Lade 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Senja 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Lokomotiv Oslo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Ottestad 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Eik-Tønsberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Lørenskog 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Åssiden IF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Fyllingsdalen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Fløya 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Råde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Nordstrand 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Kolstad 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Finnsnes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Sola 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 Djerv 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Melhus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Gneist 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Strommen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Herd 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Bossekop 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Brodd 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Tiller 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Orkla 1 0 0 1 -3 0
99 Bremnes 1 0 0 1 -3 0
100 Halsen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
101 Surnadal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
102 Vardeneset 1 0 0 1 -3 0
103 Skjetten 1 0 0 1 -3 0
104 Asker 1 0 0 1 -3 0
105 Fjøra 1 0 0 1 -3 0
106 Gamle Oslo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
107 Åskollen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
108 Førde 1 0 0 1 -4 0
109 Kolbu / KK 1 0 0 1 -4 0
110 Hønefoss 1 0 0 1 -4 0
111 Oppsal 1 0 0 1 -4 0
112 Spjelkavik 1 0 0 1 -4 0
113 Staal Jørpeland 1 0 0 1 -4 0
114 Rana 1 0 0 1 -4 0
115 Hei 1 0 0 1 -5 0
116 Rosseland 1 0 0 1 -5 0
117 Floro 1 0 0 1 -5 0
118 Verdal 1 0 0 1 -6 0
119 Vindbjart 1 0 0 1 -6 0
120 Randesund 1 0 0 1 -6 0
121 Dahle 1 0 0 1 -7 0
122 Eidsvold IF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
123 Voss 1 0 0 1 -7 0
124 Furnes 1 0 0 1 -7 0
125 Express 1 0 0 1 -7 0
126 Ishavsbyen 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Østsiden Sarpsborg 08
14′
M. Maigaard 0–1
O. Halvorsen
36′
T. Heintz 0–2
M. Rashad
Half-time 0–3
48′
S. Skalevik 0–3
J. Soltvedt
49′
M. Maigaard 0–4
O. Halvorsen
59′
K. Opseth 0–5
J. Soltvedt
71′
A. Camara 0–6
77′
A. Camara 0–7
Full-time 0–7

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.