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Super League

Referee: S Wolfensberger

Lugano

T T U S U

2–1

Full-time

Zurich

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Zurich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,2

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

2,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,2

This season — Super League · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 56%

44%

68%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

53%

68%

Both score Ø 58%

53%

62%

Average goals

2,9

3,4

Scored

1,4

2,2

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

55% Possession 45%

18 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 4. · Zurich 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zurich	34	23	7	4	+34	76
2	Basel	34	14	16	4	+28	58
3	Young Boys	34	15	11	8	+27	56
4	Lugano	34	15	6	13	-4	51
5	St. Gallen	34	13	8	13	+2	47
6	Servette	34	12	6	16	-16	42
7	Grasshoppers	34	8	13	13	-2	37
8	Sion	34	10	7	17	-22	37
9	Luzern	34	8	12	14	-13	36
10	Lausanne	34	4	10	20	-34	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zurich	17	12	4	1	+23	40
2	Young Boys	17	10	5	2	+17	35
3	Lugano	17	9	3	5	+2	30
4	Basel	17	7	8	2	+18	29
5	St. Gallen	17	6	7	4	+5	25
6	Servette	17	7	4	6	-1	25
7	Luzern	17	6	3	8	-2	21
8	Sion	17	6	3	8	-5	21
9	Grasshoppers	17	4	6	7	-2	18
10	Lausanne	17	3	5	9	-14	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zurich	17	11	3	3	+11	36
2	Basel	17	7	8	2	+10	29
3	St. Gallen	17	7	1	9	-3	22
4	Young Boys	17	5	6	6	+10	21
5	Lugano	17	6	3	8	-6	21
6	Grasshoppers	17	4	7	6	+0	19
7	Servette	17	5	2	10	-15	17
8	Sion	17	4	4	9	-17	16
9	Luzern	17	2	9	6	-11	15
10	Lausanne	17	1	5	11	-20	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.