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Serie B
Referee: M Volpi
Cremonese
T S T U T
2–1
Full-time
Pisa
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Pisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,2
4,2
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 40%
49%
31%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
49%
51%
Both score Ø 56%
43%
69%
Average goals
2,1
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
14 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cremonese 4. · Pisa 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 35 21 10 4 +31 73
2 Como 35 20 8 7 +17 68
3 Venezia 35 20 7 8 +24 67
4 Cremonese 35 17 9 9 +14 60
5 Catanzaro 35 16 9 10 +11 57
6 Palermo 35 14 10 11 +9 52
7 Sampdoria 35 13 9 13 -1 48
8 Brescia 35 11 14 10 +3 47
9 Pisa 35 11 12 12 -1 45
10 Cittadella 35 11 12 12 -3 45
11 Sudtirol 35 11 10 14 -2 43
12 Modena 35 9 16 10 -6 43
13 Reggiana 35 9 16 10 -7 43
14 Cosenza 35 10 12 13 +4 42
15 Ascoli 35 8 13 14 -4 37
16 Ternana 35 9 10 16 -8 37
17 Spezia 35 7 16 12 -15 37
18 Bari 35 7 15 13 -13 36
19 FeralpiSalo 35 8 8 19 -19 32
20 Lecco 35 6 8 21 -34 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cremonese Pisa
Luka Lochoshvili 🟨
6′
Cristian Buonaiuto ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
12′
1–0 D. Ciofani
13′
Michele Collocolo 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Arena
↦ J. Mlakar
46′
🔁 T. Barbieri
↦ A. Calabresi
48′
M. D'Alessandro 1–1
S. Moreo
Ž. Majer 🔁
↦ M. Castagnetti
59′
L. Sernicola 🔁
↦ L. Zanimacchia
59′
D. Johnsen 🔁
↦ C. Buonaiuto
59′
66′
🔁 M. Tramoni
↦ M. DAlessandro
M. Coda 🔁
↦ D. Ciofani
76′
C. Pickel 🔁
↦ M. Collocolo
76′
80′
🔁 I. Touré
↦ M. Valoti
84′
🟨 Simone Canestrelli
2–1 M. Coda
85′
86′
🟨 Antonio Caracciolo
88′
🔁 N. Bonfanti
↦ Tomás Esteves
Žan Majer 🟨
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Cremonese

3-5-1-1
21 G. Saro G
26 V. Antov D
15 M. Bianchetti D
44 L. Lochoshvili D
98 L. Zanimacchia M
8 M. Collocolo M
19 M. Castagnetti M
10 C. Buonaiuto M
33 G. Quagliata M
7 C. Falletti F
9 D. Ciofani F
Bench (12)
37 Ž. Majer
17 L. Sernicola
71 D. Johnsen
90 M. Coda
6 C. Pickel
32 G. Abrego
4 L. Marrone
18 P. Ghiglione
20 F. Vázquez
11 F. Afena-Gyan
22 A. Jungdal
74 F. Tsadjout

Coach: G. Stroppa

Pisa

4-2-3-1
1 Nícolas G
33 A. Calabresi D
5 S. Canestrelli D
4 A. Caracciolo D
20 P. Beruatto D
8 M. Marin M
19 Tomás Esteves M
77 M. D'Alessandro M
27 M. Valoti M
17 J. Mlakar M
32 S. Moreo F
Bench (12)
28 A. Arena
42 T. Barbieri
11 M. Tramoni
15 I. Touré
9 N. Bonfanti
25 F. Coppola
30 A. De Vitis
36 G. Piccinini
22 L. Loria
26 G. Masucci
7 L. Tramoni
10 E. Torregrossa

Coach: A. Aquilani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,79
U
3,63
B
4,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Volpi · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.