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Serie B

Referee: I Pezzuto

Spezia

S U T U U

1–0

Full-time

Palermo

T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Palermo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,2

3,2

Scored

0,5

1,2

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

This season — Serie B · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

1,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

43%

63%

Both score Ø 55%

49%

60%

Average goals

2,2

3,1

Scored

0,9

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

12 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spezia 17. · Palermo 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	35	21	10	4	+31	73
2	Como	35	20	8	7	+17	68
3	Venezia	35	20	7	8	+24	67
4	Cremonese	36	18	9	9	+15	63
5	Catanzaro	35	16	9	10	+11	57
6	Palermo	35	14	10	11	+9	52
7	Sampdoria	35	13	9	13	-1	48
8	Brescia	35	11	14	10	+3	47
9	Pisa	36	11	12	13	-2	45
10	Cittadella	35	11	12	12	-3	45
11	Sudtirol	35	11	10	14	-2	43
12	Modena	35	9	16	10	-6	43
13	Reggiana	35	9	16	10	-7	43
14	Cosenza	35	10	12	13	+4	42
15	Ascoli	35	8	13	14	-4	37
16	Ternana	35	9	10	16	-8	37
17	Spezia	35	7	16	12	-15	37
18	Bari	35	7	15	13	-13	36
19	FeralpiSalo	35	8	8	19	-19	32
20	Lecco	35	6	8	21	-34	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	18	11	6	1	+17	39
2	Venezia	18	12	3	3	+15	39
3	Como	17	11	4	2	+12	37
4	Cremonese	18	8	5	5	+8	29
5	Catanzaro	17	8	4	5	+7	28
6	Palermo	18	8	3	7	+6	27
7	Brescia	18	6	8	4	+4	26
8	Cittadella	18	7	5	6	+3	26
9	Pisa	18	6	7	5	+3	25
10	Sudtirol	17	6	5	6	+2	23
11	Bari	17	5	8	4	+0	23
12	Modena	18	6	5	7	-2	23
13	Sampdoria	18	6	4	8	-1	22
14	Cosenza	18	5	6	7	+4	21
15	Ascoli	17	4	8	5	+3	20
16	Spezia	17	4	8	5	-1	20
17	Ternana	18	4	7	7	-1	19
18	Reggiana	17	2	10	5	-9	16
19	Lecco	17	4	2	11	-13	14
20	FeralpiSalo	17	3	4	10	-8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	17	10	4	3	+14	34
2	Cremonese	18	10	4	4	+7	34
3	Como	18	9	4	5	+5	31
4	Catanzaro	18	8	5	5	+4	29
5	Venezia	17	8	4	5	+9	28
6	Reggiana	18	7	6	5	+2	27
7	Sampdoria	17	7	5	5	+0	26
8	Palermo	17	6	7	4	+3	25
9	Cosenza	17	5	6	6	+0	21
10	Brescia	17	5	6	6	-1	21
11	Sudtirol	18	5	5	8	-4	20
12	Modena	17	3	11	3	-4	20
13	Pisa	18	5	5	8	-5	20
14	Cittadella	17	4	7	6	-6	19
15	FeralpiSalo	18	5	4	9	-11	19
16	Ternana	17	5	3	9	-7	18
17	Ascoli	18	4	5	9	-7	17
18	Spezia	18	3	8	7	-14	17
19	Bari	18	2	7	9	-13	13
20	Lecco	18	2	6	10	-21	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.