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League Cup
Referee: A Davies
Wycombe
S T S S S
1–3
Full-time
Bristol City
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wycombe Bristol City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
This season — League Cup · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
2,0
4,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
5 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
9 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wycombe 25. · Bristol City 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Blackburn 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Sheffield Weds 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Milton Keynes Dons 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Crawley Town 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Newport County 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Derby 2 2 0 0 +2 6
7 Stevenage 2 2 0 0 +2 6
8 Exeter City 2 1 1 0 +7 4
9 Lincoln 2 1 1 0 +3 4
10 Gillingham 2 1 1 0 +2 4
11 Charlton 2 1 1 0 +1 4
12 Morecambe 2 1 1 0 +1 4
13 Stockport County 2 1 1 0 +1 4
14 Bristol City 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Aston Villa 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Nott'm Forest 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Southampton 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Preston 2 1 0 1 +2 3
19 Portsmouth 2 1 0 1 +2 3
20 Forest Green 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Brentford 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Bolton 2 1 0 1 +1 3
24 Grimsby 2 1 0 1 +1 3
25 Wycombe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Walsall 2 1 0 1 +1 3
27 Peterborough 2 1 0 1 +1 3
28 Wolves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Barnsley 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Burnley 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Everton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Shrewsbury 2 1 0 1 +0 3
33 Bradford 2 1 0 1 +0 3
34 Rotherham 2 1 0 1 +0 3
35 Fleetwood Town 2 1 0 1 +0 3
36 West Brom 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Rochdale 2 1 0 1 -1 3
38 Colchester 2 1 0 1 -1 3
39 Cambridge United 2 1 0 1 -2 3
40 Norwich 2 0 2 0 +0 2
41 Barrow 2 0 2 0 +0 2
42 Birmingham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Swansea 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Accrington ST 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Tranmere 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Bournemouth 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 QPR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Blackpool 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Stoke 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Leicester 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Oxford 2 0 1 1 -2 1
52 Carlisle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Luton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Northampton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Hull 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Mansfield Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Reading 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Millwall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Ipswich 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Wigan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Sutton Utd 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Harrogate Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Burton Albion 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Swindon Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Leyton Orient 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Sunderland 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 Plymouth 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Watford 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Fulham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 -3 0
76 Coventry 1 0 0 1 -3 0
77 Cardiff 1 0 0 1 -3 0
78 Doncaster 1 0 0 1 -3 0
79 Salford City 1 0 0 1 -4 0
80 Crewe 1 0 0 1 -4 0
81 Hartlepool 1 0 0 1 -4 0
82 Cheltenham 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wycombe Bristol City
7′
D. Kadji 0–1
K. Wilson
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 T. Conway
↦ N. Wells
1–1 Ali Al Hamadi
A. Mehmeti
49′
61′
🔁 M. James
↦ H. Massengo
61′
🔁 A. Scott
↦ D. Kadji
A. Leathers 🔁
↦ J. McCarthy
62′
L. Wing 🔁
↦ C. Forino-Joseph
62′
J. Obita 🔁
↦ A. Mehmeti
62′
70′
🔁 A. Semenyo
↦ C. Martin
D. Gape 🔁
↦ J. Young
74′
77′
K. Wilson 1–2
K. Naismith
Dominic Gape 🟨
78′
A. Matshazi 🔁
↦ Ali Al Hamadi
85′
93′
A. Semenyo 1–3
T. Conway
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Wycombe

4-2-3-1
13 T. Dickinson G
26 J. McCarthy D
5 C. Forino-Joseph D
19 J. Wakely D
3 J. Jacobson D
22 N. Freeman M
17 D. Horgan M
31 J. Pattenden M
15 J. Young M
11 A. Mehmeti M
25 Ali Al Hamadi F
Bench (8)
24 A. Leathers
10 L. Wing
23 J. Obita
4 D. Gape
34 A. Matshazi
33 L. Woodhouse
30 J. Blunkell
32 C. Hagan

Coach: G. Ainsworth

Bristol City

3-4-1-2
1 D. Bentley G
19 G. Tanner D
25 T. Klose D
4 K. Naismith D
2 K. Wilson M
27 D. Kadji M
10 A. King M
16 C. Pring M
30 H. Massengo F
9 C. Martin F
21 N. Wells F
Bench (8)
15 T. Conway
6 M. James
7 A. Scott
11 A. Semenyo
3 J. Dasilva
5 R. Atkinson
26 Z. Vyner
12 M. O’Leary

Coach: N. Pearson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Davies · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.