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Championship

Referee: K Stroud

Bristol City

U S S T T

2–3

Full-time

Sunderland

U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Sunderland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,2

This season — Championship · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%

13 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 9

2 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bristol City 19. · Sunderland 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Birmingham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Hull	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Watford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Blackpool	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Wigan	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Sunderland	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Coventry	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Middlesbrough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	West Brom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Rotherham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Luton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Norwich	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	QPR	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Huddersfield	2	0	0	2	-2	0
24	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Hull	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Watford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Blackpool	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Sunderland	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Middlesbrough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Rotherham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Luton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	Coventry	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	West Brom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	QPR	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.