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League Cup
Referee: S Martin
0–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mansfield Town Sheffield United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
7 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 West Brom 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Wolves 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Luton 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 West Ham 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Blackpool 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Charlton 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Stoke 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Bradford 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Leyton Orient 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Southampton 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Cardiff 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Crawley Town 2 1 0 1 +1 3
14 Lincoln 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Stevenage 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Crewe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Cambridge United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Watford 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Leicester 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Sheffield Weds 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Walsall 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Peterborough 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Fleetwood Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Tranmere 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Burnley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Notts County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Barnsley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Wigan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Preston 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Huddersfield 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 QPR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Millwall 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Bromley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Reading 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Salford City 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Shrewsbury 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Stockport County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Doncaster 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Newport County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Rochdale 2 0 1 1 -2 1
45 Swindon Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Derby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Wycombe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Burton Albion 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Accrington ST 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Barnet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Northampton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Wrexham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Bolton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Swansea 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Chesterfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Portsmouth 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Grimsby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Cheltenham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Oldham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 York 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Oxford 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Colchester 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 Rotherham 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 -3 0
68 Gillingham 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mansfield Town Sheffield United
4′
P. Bamford 0–1
J. Rothwell
29′
🔁 R. Donovan
↦ T. Chong
37′
🟨 Femi Seriki
Half-time 0–1
R. Oates 🔁
↦ T. Roberts
46′
46′
🔁 H. Burrows
↦ R. Norrington-Davies
L. Thompson 🔁
↦ R. Hendry
60′
E. Hewitt 🔁
↦ R. Sweeney
60′
Louis Reed 🟨
63′
70′
🔁 O. Arblaster
↦ J. Rothwell
70′
🔁 R. One
↦ P. Bamford
71′
M. McGuinness 0–2
S. Peck
N. Moriah-Welsh 🔁
↦ S. McLaughlin
74′
M. Smith 🔁
↦ D. McGoldrick
74′
84′
🔁 M. Doherty
↦ F. Seriki
Liam Thompson 🟨
87′
89′
C. O'Hare 0–3
R. One
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Mansfield Town

3-5-2
21 H. Lewis G
23 A. Oshilaja D
20 F. Blake-Tracy D
5 R. Sweeney D
7 L. Akins M
13 J. Russell M
25 L. Reed M
24 R. Hendry M
3 S. McLaughlin M
17 D. McGoldrick F
19 T. Roberts F
Bench (8)
1 L. Roberts
2 K. Knoyle
16 L. Thompson
22 N. Moriah-Welsh
14 M. Smith
4 E. Hewitt
18 R. Oates
10 G. Maris

Coach: Nigel Clough

Sheffield United

4-4-2
1 M. Cooper G
38 F. Seriki D
5 J. Tanganga D
25 M. McGuinness D
30 R. Norrington-Davies D
19 T. Chong M
42 S. Peck M
7 J. Rothwell M
10 C. O'Hare M
45 P. Bamford F
9 T. Cannon F
Bench (9)
17 A. Davies
2 M. Doherty
44 J. Riedewald
23 T. Campbell
33 J. Baptiste
4 O. Arblaster
26 R. One
14 H. Burrows
11 R. Donovan

Coach: Chris Wilder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Martin · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.