2. Bundesliga
Referee: Jarno Wienefeld
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
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Who wins?
Pro
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
Nurnberg
Dresden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Goal markets
Pro
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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Most likely result
Pro
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Match stats
Half-time score: 2–0
2,23
xG
1,96
56%
Possession
44%
16
Shots
9
7
Shots on target
1
3
Blocked shots
2
1
Goalkeeper saves
4
5
Corners
5
1
Offside
5
6
Free kicks against
11
0
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
Match report
Nurnberg
Dresden
1–0 M. A. Zoma
⚽
F. Becker
2–0 M. A. Zoma
⚽
Half-time 2–0
🔁
S. Straudi
↦ J. Sterner
Mohamed Ali Zoma
ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
🔁
C. Daferner
↦ V. Vermeij
🔁
K. Inanoglu
↦ J. Lemmer
T. Hess
🔁
↦ E. Porstner
G. Masouras
🔁
↦ T. Janisch
R. Lubach
🔁
↦ J. Justvan
🟨
Thomas Keller
🟨
Simon Straudi
Mohamed Ali Zoma
❌
penalty missed
3–0 M. A. Zoma
⚽
🔁
L. Herrmann
↦ N. Rapp
🔁
N. Froling
↦ B. Bobzien
A. Grimaldi
🔁
↦ P. Scobel
R. Ghrieb
🔁
↦ M. A. Zoma
Full-time 3–0
Line-ups
Nurnberg
4-2-3-1
1
J. Reichert
G
J. Reichert
G
32
T. Janisch
D
T. Janisch
D
4
A. Kalogeropoulos
D
A. Kalogeropoulos
D
20
F. Otto
D
F. Otto
D
41
E. Porstner
D
E. Porstner
D
6
A. Markhiev
M
A. Markhiev
M
8
J. Fernandez
M
J. Fernandez
M
10
J. Justvan
M
J. Justvan
M
22
F. Becker
M
F. Becker
M
23
M. A. Zoma
M
M. A. Zoma
M
19
P. Scobel
F
P. Scobel
F
Bench (9)
13
R. Lisewski
39
A. Grimaldi
21
G. Masouras
18
R. Lubach
28
C. Y. Moustfa
7
R. Ghrieb
43
T. Hess
36
K. Mandic
35
M. Kornwachs Barjuan
Coach: Miroslav Klose
Dresden
4-2-3-1
1
T. Schreiber
G
T. Schreiber
G
32
J. Sterner
D
J. Sterner
D
39
T. Keller
D
T. Keller
D
42
F. Muller
D
F. Muller
D
19
A. Rossipal
D
A. Rossipal
D
18
R. Wagner
M
R. Wagner
M
6
N. Rapp
M
N. Rapp
M
10
J. Lemmer
M
J. Lemmer
M
27
N. Hauptmann
M
N. Hauptmann
M
20
B. Bobzien
M
B. Bobzien
M
9
V. Vermeij
F
V. Vermeij
F
Bench (9)
40
E. Bethke
44
S. Straudi
17
A. Muhamedbegovic
29
L. Boeder
33
C. Daferner
8
L. Herrmann
16
N. Froling
25
J. Oehmichen
11
K. Inanoglu
Coach: Thomas Stamm
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
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The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.