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Premiership

Referee: C Graham

Motherwell

S S S S U

0–0

Full-time

Falkirk

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Falkirk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

0,8

2,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,0

0,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,89 xG 0,44

58% Possession 42%

11 Shots 10

1 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Motherwell 4. · Falkirk 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	2	2	0	0	+5	+6.9	6
2	St Mirren	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.2	6
3	Dundee	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.6	3
4	Motherwell	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	ST Johnstone	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.9	3
6	Aberdeen	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.2	3
7	Dundee United	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
8	Rangers	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
9	Hibernian	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
10	Hearts	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
11	Falkirk	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
12	Kilmarnock	2	0	0	2	-5	-5.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Dundee	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
2	ST Johnstone	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
3	Aberdeen	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
4	Celtic	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.1	3
5	St Mirren	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
6	Dundee United	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
7	Hibernian	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
8	Falkirk	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
9	Kilmarnock	1	0	0	1	-4	-4.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	1	1	0	0	+4	+4.8	3
2	St Mirren	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
3	Motherwell	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
4	Rangers	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
5	Kilmarnock	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
6	Hearts	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
7	Dundee	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.1	0
8	ST Johnstone	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
9	Aberdeen	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.