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League Cup
Referee: B Speedie
0–2
Full-time
Wolves
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Wolves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — League Cup · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield Weds 23. · Wolves 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Middlesbrough 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 West Brom 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Wolves 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Sheffield United 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Luton 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 West Ham 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Blackpool 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Charlton 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Stoke 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Plymouth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Bradford 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Leyton Orient 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Southampton 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Crawley Town 2 1 0 1 +1 3
16 Lincoln 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Stevenage 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Crewe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Cambridge United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Watford 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Leicester 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Sheffield Weds 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Walsall 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Peterborough 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Fleetwood Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Cardiff 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Tranmere 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Burnley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Notts County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Barnsley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Wigan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Preston 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Huddersfield 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 QPR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Millwall 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Bromley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Reading 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Salford City 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Shrewsbury 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Stockport County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Newport County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Rochdale 2 0 1 1 -2 1
46 Doncaster 2 0 1 1 -2 1
47 Swindon Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Derby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Wycombe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Burton Albion 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Accrington ST 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Barnet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Northampton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Wrexham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Bolton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Swansea 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Chesterfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Portsmouth 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Grimsby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Cheltenham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Oldham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Exeter City 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 York 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Oxford 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Colchester 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 0 1 -3 0
69 Rotherham 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 Mansfield Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
72 Gillingham 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield Weds Wolves
3′
S. Swinkels 1–0
own goal
Jarvis Thornton 🟨
8′
32′
🟨 Boubacar Traoré
45′
S. Olagunju 1–1
T. Doyle
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 M. Mane
↦ R. Gomes
62′
🔁 M. Munetsi
↦ J. James
62′
🔁 R. Jimenez
↦ T. Chirewa
G. Otegbayo 🔁
↦ R. Santos
66′
B. Bannan 🔁
↦ W. Grainger
67′
L. Barry 🔁
↦ B. Mitchell
67′
M. Lowe 🔁
↦ S. Swinkels
70′
72′
🔁 H. Bueno
↦ D. Wolfe
D. Moses 🔁
↦ K. Morrison
81′
85′
🔁 Toti
↦ S. Olagunju
J. Lowe 🔁
↦ H. Gray
86′
88′
🔁 F. Lopez
↦ T. Doyle
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sheffield Weds

4-2-3-1
1 J. Lumley G
2 L. Palmer D
4 R. Santos D
26 S. Swinkels D
33 R. James D
37 J. Thornton M
16 B. Mitchell M
20 K. Morrison M
24 H. Gray M
19 W. Grainger M
48 M. Burstow F
Bench (9)
27 C. Trueman
3 M. Lowe
7 Y. Valery
30 E. Weaver
10 B. Bannan
22 G. Otegbayo
9 J. Lowe
11 L. Barry
40 D. Moses

Coach: Henrik Pedersen

Wolves

4-2-3-1
1 J. Sa G
17 Pedro Lima D
34 N. Djiga D
59 S. Olagunju D
6 D. Wolfe D
12 B. Traore M
8 J. James M
21 R. Gomes M
20 T. Doyle M
23 T. Chirewa M
10 A. Armstrong F
Bench (9)
70 J. Gracey
24 Toti
3 H. Bueno
7 Andre
5 M. Munetsi
28 F. Lopez
9 R. Jimenez
36 M. Mane
38 J. Tchatchoua

Coach: Cesar Peixoto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Speedie · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.