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League Cup

Referee: E Duckworth

Doncaster

T S S T U

1–3

Full-time

Middlesbrough

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Doncaster Middlesbrough

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — League Cup · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

1,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

34% Possession 66%

12 Shots 24

5 Shots on target 8

4 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

1 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Doncaster 43. · Middlesbrough 22. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Luton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Blackpool	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Plymouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Bradford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Leyton Orient	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Southampton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Crawley Town	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Lincoln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Stevenage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Crewe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Cambridge United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Watford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Sheffield Weds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Walsall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Peterborough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Fleetwood Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Cardiff	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Bromley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Salford City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Shrewsbury	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Stockport County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Doncaster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Newport County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Rochdale	2	0	1	1	-2	1
47	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Derby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Wycombe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Barnet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Bolton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Grimsby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Oldham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Exeter City	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	York	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Colchester	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Mansfield Town	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Plymouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Bradford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Leyton Orient	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Crewe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Cambridge United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Watford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Sheffield Weds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Fleetwood Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Cardiff	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Bromley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Salford City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Stockport County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Derby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Wycombe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Grimsby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	York	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Colchester	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Mansfield Town	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Luton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Blackpool	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Southampton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Crawley Town	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Lincoln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Stevenage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Walsall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Peterborough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Shrewsbury	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Doncaster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Newport County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Rochdale	2	0	1	1	-2	1
24	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Barnet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Bolton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Oldham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Exeter City	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.