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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Willenborg
Hamburg
T T S S T
4–2
Full-time
Sandhausen
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Sandhausen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
2,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 44%
63%
25%
Points per game
1,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
44%
56%
Both score Ø 54%
44%
63%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%
18 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 0
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamburg 2. · Sandhausen 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 16 10 5 1 +12 35
2 Hamburg 16 10 1 5 +8 31
3 Heidenheim 16 8 6 2 +12 30
4 Kaiserslautern 17 7 8 2 +6 29
5 Hannover 17 8 4 5 +7 28
6 Paderborn 16 8 2 6 +14 26
7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 17 8 2 7 +6 26
8 Holstein Kiel 17 6 7 4 +2 25
9 Greuther Furth 16 4 7 5 -4 19
10 Regensburg 16 5 4 7 -9 19
11 Braunschweig 16 4 6 6 -7 18
12 Hansa Rostock 16 5 3 8 -7 18
13 Karlsruhe 16 5 2 9 -4 17
14 Magdeburg 16 5 2 9 -11 17
15 St Pauli 16 3 7 6 -2 16
16 Sandhausen 16 4 4 8 -6 16
17 Nurnberg 16 4 4 8 -10 16
18 Bielefeld 16 4 2 10 -7 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamburg Sandhausen
18′
🟨 Ahmed Kutucu
1–0 R. Glatzel
J. Dompé
27′
37′
🟨 Phillipp Ochs
Half-time 1–1
49′
C. Soukou 1–1
2–1 L. Reis
M. Muheim
56′
67′
🟨 Christian Kinsombi
68′
C. Kinsombi 2–2
2–3 A. Zhirov
own goal
74′
3–3 R. Glatzel
L. Bénes
80′
A. Suhonen 🔁
↦ L. Bénes
81′
84′
🔁 J. Bachmann
↦ D. Kinsombi
84′
🔁 M. Ritzmaier
↦ T. Trybull
84′
🔁 K. Ademi
↦ A. Kutucu
V. Zumberi 🔁
↦ R. Königsdörffer
85′
Sonny Kittel 🟨
89′
92′
🟨 Bashkim Ajdini
F. Bilbija 🔁
↦ S. Kittel
93′
X. Amaechi 🔁
↦ J. Dompé
93′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Hamburg

4-3-3
1 Daniel Heuer G
11 R. Königsdörffer D
34 J. David D
4 S. Schonlau D
28 M. Muheim D
14 L. Reis M
23 J. Meffert M
8 L. Bénes M
10 S. Kittel F
9 R. Glatzel F
27 J. Dompé F
Bench (9)
36 A. Suhonen
37 V. Zumberi
7 F. Bilbija
17 X. Amaechi
43 B. Andresen
42 O. Heil
2 W. Mikelbrencis
19 M. Raab
45 T. Sanne

Coach: T. Walter

Sandhausen

3-1-4-2
33 N. Rehnen G
15 I. Höhn D
28 T. Trybull D
2 A. Zhirov D
24 M. Papela M
19 B. Ajdini M
10 D. Kinsombi M
8 C. Kinsombi M
11 P. Ochs M
23 A. Kutucu F
7 C. Soukou F
Bench (9)
26 J. Bachmann
22 M. Ritzmaier
29 K. Ademi
25 O. Diakhité
9 M. Pulkrab
21 T. Königsmann
27 A. Sicker
3 D. Đumić
6 A. El-Zein

Coach: A. Schwartz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,40
U
4,83
B
7,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,56
U2,5
2,39
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Willenborg · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.