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DFB-Pokal
Referee: M Fritz
0–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Saarbrücken Kaiserslautern
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
75%
67%
Both score Ø 71%
75%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,3
This season — DFB-Pokal · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
75%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
2,0
3,3
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 14
6 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Saarbrücken 3. · Kaiserslautern 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leverkusen 4 4 0 0 +14 12
2 Kaiserslautern 4 4 0 0 +10 12
3 FC Saarbrücken 4 4 0 0 +5 12
4 St Pauli 4 3 1 0 +9 10
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 4 3 1 0 +6 10
6 M'gladbach 4 3 0 1 +9 9
7 Stuttgart 4 3 0 1 +6 9
8 Hertha 4 2 1 1 +6 7
9 Nurnberg 3 2 0 1 +7 6
10 Paderborn 3 2 0 1 +7 6
11 Ein Frankfurt 3 2 0 1 +7 6
12 Wolfsburg 3 2 0 1 +6 6
13 Dortmund 3 2 0 1 +4 6
14 FC 08 Homburg 3 2 0 1 +1 6
15 Hamburg 3 1 2 0 +1 5
16 Holstein Kiel 2 1 1 0 +2 4
17 Magdeburg 3 1 1 1 +0 4
18 Heidenheim 2 1 0 1 +6 3
19 Bayern Munich 2 1 0 1 +3 3
20 Union Berlin 2 1 0 1 +3 3
21 Hoffenheim 2 1 0 1 +2 3
22 FC Koln 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 +1 3
24 Freiburg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
25 RB Leipzig 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 Greuther Furth 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 SpVgg Unterhaching 2 1 0 1 -1 3
28 FC Viktoria Koln 2 1 0 1 -1 3
29 Mainz 2 1 0 1 -2 3
30 Bielefeld 2 0 2 0 +0 2
31 Hannover 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Bochum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 FSV Frankfurt 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Hansa Rostock 2 0 1 1 -1 1
35 Sandhausen 2 0 1 1 -3 1
36 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Regensburg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Karlsruhe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Elversberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Osnabruck 1 0 0 1 -2 0
44 Braunschweig 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Illertissen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Oberachern 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 FC Gutersloh 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 Augsburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 VfB Lubeck 1 0 0 1 -3 0
50 Darmstadt 1 0 0 1 -3 0
51 Preußen Münster 1 0 0 1 -4 0
52 Balingen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
53 FC Astoria Walldorf 1 0 0 1 -4 0
54 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -5 0
55 Carl Zeiss Jena 1 0 0 1 -5 0
56 Atlas Delmenhorst 1 0 0 1 -5 0
57 TuS RW Koblenz 1 0 0 1 -5 0
58 Makkabi 1 0 0 1 -6 0
59 Cottbus 1 0 0 1 -7 0
60 Bersenbrück 1 0 0 1 -7 0
61 Lokomotive Leipzig 1 0 0 1 -7 0
62 Oberneuland 1 0 0 1 -8 0
63 Teutonia Ottensen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
64 Rostocker FC 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Saarbrücken Kaiserslautern
31′
🔁 A. Opoku
↦ K. Redondo
Patrick Sontheimer 🟨
35′
37′
🟨 Boris Tomiak
Half-time 0–0
Marcel Gaus 🟨
50′
53′
⚽ M. Ritter 0–1
A. Touré
Manuel Zeitz 🟨
62′
F. Di Michele Sanchez 🔁
↦ M. Gaus
67′
T. Civeja 🔁
↦ P. Sontheimer
67′
S. Stehle 🔁
↦ A. Naïfi
67′
67′
🔁 F. Stojilković
↦ D. Hanslik
75′
⚽ A. Touré 0–2
T. Puchacz
Fabio Di Michele Sanchez 🟨
77′
Kai Brünker 🟨
77′
77′
🟨 Almamy Touré
77′
🟨 Julian Niehues
J. Biada 🔁
↦ M. Zeitz
78′
78′
🔁 F. Ronstadt
↦ J. Zimmer
Boné Uaferro 🔁
↦ K. Rabihić
86′
Boné Uaferro 🟨
94′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

FC Saarbrücken

3-4-2-1
1 T. Schreiber G
16 B. Thoelke D
8 M. Zeitz D
29 L. Boeder D
7 C. Rizzuto M
33 L. Kerber M
6 P. Sontheimer M
19 M. Gaus M
25 A. Naïfi F
10 K. Rabihić F
9 K. Brünker F
Bench (9)
21 F. Di Michele Sanchez
23 T. Civeja
22 S. Stehle
11 J. Biada
14 Boné Uaferro
15 R. Becker
30 T. Paterok
20 J. Günther-Schmidt
17 D. Becker

Coach: R. Ziehl

Kaiserslautern

4-4-1-1
32 R. Himmelmann G
6 A. Touré D
33 J. Elvedi D
2 B. Tomiak D
15 T. Puchacz D
8 J. Zimmer M
26 F. Kaloč M
16 J. Niehues M
11 K. Redondo M
7 M. Ritter F
19 D. Hanslik F
Bench (9)
17 A. Opoku
25 F. Stojilković
27 F. Ronstadt
30 A. Spahić
5 K. Kraus
40 D. Abiama
24 B. Simakala
20 T. Raschl
29 R. Tachie

Coach: F. Funkel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

M Fritz · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.