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Süper Lig

Referee: A Şansalan

Galatasaray

T S S S S

1–0

Full-time

Hatayspor

U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Hatayspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,5

2,2

Scored

2,8

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 55%

87%

23%

Points per game

2,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

60%

47%

Both score Ø 52%

50%

53%

Average goals

2,9

2,5

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,6

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,64 xG 0,57

58% Possession 42%

19 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

8 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Galatasaray 1. · Hatayspor 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	30	26	3	1	+48	+40.0	81
2	Fenerbahce	30	25	4	1	+54	+52.2	79
3	Trabzonspor	30	15	4	11	+11	+2.4	49
4	Besiktas	30	14	4	12	+4	+9.6	46
5	Rizespor	31	13	6	12	-7	-3.3	45
6	Kasimpasa	30	12	7	11	-2	-9.0	43
7	Buyuksehyr	30	12	6	12	+3	-0.3	42
8	Antalyaspor	31	10	12	9	+2	+0.4	42
9	Ad. Demirspor	30	9	12	9	+7	-0.9	39
10	Alanyaspor	30	9	12	9	-4	+2.2	39
11	Kayserispor	30	10	9	11	-7	-7.6	39
12	Sivasspor	30	9	11	10	-7	-6.8	38
13	Samsunspor	30	10	6	14	-6	+4.2	36
14	Ankaragücü	31	7	13	11	-3	-5.5	34
15	Hatayspor	30	7	12	11	-4	-4.8	33
16	Konyaspor	30	7	12	11	-11	-10.7	33
17	Gaziantep	30	8	7	15	-10	-12.5	31
18	Karagumruk	30	7	9	14	-4	-12.4	30
19	Pendikspor	30	7	8	15	-27	-11.8	29
20	İstanbulspor	31	3	7	21	-37	-25.4	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	15	15	0	0	+28	+27.7	45
2	Fenerbahce	15	11	3	1	+27	+29.6	36
3	Rizespor	16	10	3	3	+10	+5.5	33
4	Ad. Demirspor	15	9	3	3	+15	+6.4	30
5	Samsunspor	15	9	2	4	+9	+5.9	29
6	Trabzonspor	15	9	1	5	+7	+5.2	28
7	Buyuksehyr	15	8	2	5	+7	+1.3	26
8	Besiktas	15	8	2	5	+7	+6.4	26
9	Antalyaspor	16	6	8	2	+3	+1.9	26
10	Karagumruk	15	6	6	3	+12	-0.7	24
11	Kayserispor	15	6	6	3	+5	+2.6	24
12	Alanyaspor	15	6	6	3	+4	+4.7	24
13	Hatayspor	15	5	7	3	+5	-1.1	22
14	Ankaragücü	16	5	7	4	+1	+1.2	22
15	Kasimpasa	15	6	4	5	-1	-4.3	22
16	Konyaspor	14	5	4	5	+3	+2.2	19
17	Sivasspor	14	4	7	3	+2	+1.7	19
18	Pendikspor	15	5	3	7	-9	-6.1	18
19	Gaziantep	15	4	5	6	-4	-6.3	17
20	İstanbulspor	16	2	3	11	-21	-15.4	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	15	14	1	0	+27	+22.6	43
2	Galatasaray	15	11	3	1	+20	+12.3	36
3	Trabzonspor	15	6	3	6	+4	-2.8	21
4	Kasimpasa	15	6	3	6	-1	-4.7	21
5	Besiktas	15	6	2	7	-3	+3.2	20
6	Sivasspor	16	5	4	7	-9	-8.4	19
7	Antalyaspor	15	4	4	7	-1	-1.5	16
8	Buyuksehyr	15	4	4	7	-4	-1.6	16
9	Alanyaspor	15	3	6	6	-8	-2.5	15
10	Kayserispor	15	4	3	8	-12	-10.2	15
11	Gaziantep	15	4	2	9	-6	-6.2	14
12	Konyaspor	16	2	8	6	-14	-12.9	14
13	Ankaragücü	15	2	6	7	-4	-6.7	12
14	Rizespor	15	3	3	9	-17	-8.8	12
15	Hatayspor	15	2	5	8	-9	-3.6	11
16	Pendikspor	15	2	5	8	-18	-5.7	11
17	Ad. Demirspor	15	0	9	6	-8	-7.3	9
18	Samsunspor	15	1	4	10	-15	-1.7	7
19	İstanbulspor	15	1	4	10	-16	-10.1	7
20	Karagumruk	15	1	3	11	-16	-11.7	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.