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Ekstraklasa

Referee: S Krasny

Warta Poznan

U U S T T

1–1

Full-time

Zaglebie

U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Warta Poznan Zaglebie

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,2

1,8

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 30%

24%

36%

Points per game

1,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

32%

44%

Both score Ø 42%

36%

48%

Average goals

2,1

2,6

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,73 xG 1,82

40% Possession 60%

9 Shots 20

2 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Warta Poznan 14. · Zaglebie 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	26	15	6	5	+28	+13.4	51
2	Slask Wroclaw	26	13	8	5	+13	+4.8	47
3	Rakow	26	12	9	5	+20	+19.0	45
4	Lech Poznan	26	12	9	5	+8	-2.8	45
5	Pogon Szczecin	26	13	5	8	+18	+12.6	44
6	Legia	26	12	8	6	+10	+7.8	44
7	Gornik Zabrze	26	11	6	9	+3	-4.6	39
8	Stal Mielec	26	10	7	9	+0	-9.9	37
9	Widzew Lodz	26	10	5	11	-1	-3.9	35
10	Zaglebie	25	9	7	9	-8	+2.8	34
11	Radomiak Radom	26	8	8	10	-9	+0.7	32
12	Piast Gliwice	26	5	14	7	-5	+10.4	29
13	Cracovia	26	5	13	8	-3	-0.9	28
14	Warta Poznan	25	6	9	10	-7	-7.2	27
15	Puszcza	26	5	10	11	-13	-17.3	25
16	Korona Kielce	26	4	12	10	-8	-1.9	24
17	Ruch Chorzow	26	2	13	11	-13	-5.2	19
18	LKS Lodz	26	4	5	17	-33	-17.7	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	13	10	2	1	+26	+14.0	32
2	Rakow	13	9	4	0	+23	+12.6	31
3	Lech Poznan	13	8	3	2	+14	+1.5	27
4	Legia	13	7	4	2	+11	+8.6	25
5	Stal Mielec	13	7	4	2	+9	+0.9	25
6	Gornik Zabrze	13	7	3	3	+4	-2.5	24
7	Widzew Lodz	13	8	0	5	+2	+3.7	24
8	Slask Wroclaw	13	6	4	3	+7	+9.3	22
9	Pogon Szczecin	13	6	2	5	+5	+13.7	20
10	Zaglebie	13	5	5	3	+0	+1.6	20
11	Puszcza	13	4	7	2	+0	-4.5	19
12	Piast Gliwice	13	4	6	3	+2	+8.7	18
13	Korona Kielce	13	3	7	3	+1	+6.2	16
14	Cracovia	13	3	6	4	+1	+1.2	15
15	Radomiak Radom	13	3	5	5	-4	+2.8	14
16	LKS Lodz	13	3	5	5	-10	-11.1	14
17	Ruch Chorzow	13	2	6	5	-3	+2.9	12
18	Warta Poznan	12	2	4	6	-5	-2.3	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	13	7	4	2	+6	-4.5	25
2	Pogon Szczecin	13	7	3	3	+13	-1.1	24
3	Jagiellonia	13	5	4	4	+2	-0.6	19
4	Legia	13	5	4	4	-1	-0.8	19
5	Radomiak Radom	13	5	3	5	-5	-2.1	18
6	Lech Poznan	13	4	6	3	-6	-4.3	18
7	Warta Poznan	13	4	5	4	-2	-4.9	17
8	Gornik Zabrze	13	4	3	6	-1	-2.1	15
9	Rakow	13	3	5	5	-3	+6.3	14
10	Zaglebie	12	4	2	6	-8	+1.3	14
11	Cracovia	13	2	7	4	-4	-2.1	13
12	Stal Mielec	13	3	3	7	-9	-10.8	12
13	Widzew Lodz	13	2	5	6	-3	-7.6	11
14	Piast Gliwice	13	1	8	4	-7	+1.7	11
15	Korona Kielce	13	1	5	7	-9	-8.1	8
16	Ruch Chorzow	13	0	7	6	-10	-8.1	7
17	Puszcza	13	1	3	9	-13	-12.8	6
18	LKS Lodz	13	1	0	12	-23	-6.7	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.