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DFB-Pokal

Referee: H Osmers

Bielefeld

U S S S S

2–1

Full-time

Leverkusen

T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bielefeld Leverkusen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — DFB-Pokal · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

50%

25%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

2,3

2,0

Conceded

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

48% Possession 52%

8 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 6

1 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bielefeld 3. · Leverkusen 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	RB Leipzig	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	Bielefeld	4	4	0	0	+7	12
4	Leverkusen	4	4	0	0	+6	12
5	FC Koln	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Wolfsburg	4	3	0	1	+4	9
7	Werder Bremen	4	3	0	1	+3	9
8	Karlsruhe	3	2	1	0	+7	7
9	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	+5	7
10	Bayern Munich	3	2	0	1	+7	6
11	Hertha	3	2	0	1	+4	6
12	Freiburg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	Darmstadt	3	2	0	1	+2	6
14	Ein Frankfurt	3	2	0	1	+1	6
15	Regensburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
16	Hoffenheim	3	1	1	1	-2	4
17	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	+5	3
18	Elversberg	2	1	0	1	+4	3
19	Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	+3	3
20	Paderborn	2	1	0	1	+3	3
21	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	+2	3
22	M'gladbach	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	Dresden	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	Greuther Furth	2	1	0	1	+1	3
25	Kaiserslautern	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	St Pauli	2	1	0	1	-1	3
27	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	-1	3
28	Kickers Offenbach	2	1	0	1	-1	3
29	Union Berlin	2	1	0	1	-1	3
30	Mainz	2	1	0	1	-2	3
31	Holstein Kiel	2	1	0	1	-2	3
32	Wurzburger Kickers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Nurnberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
35	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Alemannia Aachen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	FC Ingolstadt 04	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Magdeburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Greifswalder FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	TuS Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	VfR Aalen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Viktoria Berlin	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Phönix Lübeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-4	0
58	Ulm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
59	Bremer Sv	1	0	0	1	-4	0
60	FC 08 Villingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-5	0
62	Sportfreunde Lotte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
63	SV Meppen	1	0	0	1	-6	0
64	Borussia Hildesheim	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	RB Leipzig	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	FC Koln	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Stuttgart	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Regensburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
8	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Dresden	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Kickers Offenbach	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Karlsruhe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Wurzburger Kickers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Alemannia Aachen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	FC Ingolstadt 04	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Bayern Munich	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Greifswalder FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	TuS Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	VfR Aalen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Viktoria Berlin	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Phönix Lübeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
39	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-4	0
40	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-4	0
41	Ulm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
42	Bremer Sv	1	0	0	1	-4	0
43	FC 08 Villingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
44	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-5	0
45	Sportfreunde Lotte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
46	SV Meppen	1	0	0	1	-6	0
47	Borussia Hildesheim	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Stuttgart	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Karlsruhe	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Darmstadt	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Werder Bremen	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Augsburg	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	+5	3
9	Elversberg	2	1	0	1	+4	3
10	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Hertha	2	1	0	1	+3	3
12	Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	+3	3
13	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Freiburg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
15	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	+2	3
16	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	M'gladbach	2	1	0	1	+1	3
18	Greuther Furth	2	1	0	1	+1	3
19	FC Koln	2	1	0	1	+0	3
20	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	+0	3
21	Kaiserslautern	2	1	0	1	+0	3
22	Wolfsburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	St Pauli	2	1	0	1	-1	3
24	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	-1	3
25	Union Berlin	2	1	0	1	-1	3
26	Holstein Kiel	2	1	0	1	-2	3
27	Nurnberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
28	Hoffenheim	2	0	1	1	-3	1
29	Magdeburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.