Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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AZ Alkmaar
Waalwijk
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ajax
|
27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | +37 | +25.5 | 67 |
| 2 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | +46 | +34.1 | 58 |
| 3 |
Utrecht
|
27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | +9 | +3.0 | 52 |
| 4 |
Feyenoord
|
26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | +26 | +23.1 | 50 |
| 5 |
Go Ahead Eagles
|
27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | +6 | +10.5 | 44 |
| 6 |
Twente
|
25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | +13 | +13.8 | 43 |
| 7 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +7 | +9.0 | 39 |
| 8 |
Groningen
|
26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | -9 | -8.6 | 32 |
| 9 |
For Sittard
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -14 | -4.9 | 32 |
| 10 |
Heerenveen
|
26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | -8 | -1.4 | 31 |
| 11 |
Heracles
|
27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -13 | -14.2 | 31 |
| 12 |
Nijmegen
|
26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | +2 | +1.0 | 30 |
| 13 |
NAC Breda
|
27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | -16 | -14.7 | 30 |
| 14 |
Zwolle
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -9 | -20.4 | 29 |
| 15 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -7 | +0.6 | 28 |
| 16 |
Willem II
|
27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -16 | -22.9 | 24 |
| 17 |
Almere City
|
27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -32 | -15.4 | 18 |
| 18 |
Waalwijk
|
26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -22 | -18.2 | 17 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
R. Owusu-Oduro
G
E. Dijkstra
D
W. Goes
D
Alexandre Penetra
D
D. Møller Wolfe
D
P. Koopmeiners
M
K. Smit
M
Z. Buurmeester
M
T. Parrott
F
M. de Wit
F
Coach: M. Martens
R. van Eijma
D
J. Lelieveld
M
Y. Oukili
M
O. Zawada
F
Coach: H. Fraser
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Tottenham
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Tottenham
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
R Dieperink · 77 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.