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Referee: L Erbst

Verl

0–3

Full-time

Hamburg

T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

13 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 1

2 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+11	3
2	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+9	3
3	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Dresden	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	SSV Jeddeloh	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	FC Viktoria Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Waldhof Mannheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Phönix Lübeck	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	MSV Duisburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	St Pauli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	TSV 1860 Munich	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Lüneburger SK Hansa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-4	0
43	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-4	0
44	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
45	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
46	Bahlinger SC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
47	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
48	Eintracht Trier	1	0	0	1	-6	0
49	Westfalia Rhynern	1	0	0	1	-6	0
50	Hemelingen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
51	Krieschow	1	0	0	1	-9	0
52	SC St. Tönis	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	SSV Jeddeloh	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	FC Viktoria Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Waldhof Mannheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Phönix Lübeck	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	MSV Duisburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	TSV 1860 Munich	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Lüneburger SK Hansa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
19	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Bahlinger SC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
21	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
22	Eintracht Trier	1	0	0	1	-6	0
23	Westfalia Rhynern	1	0	0	1	-6	0
24	Hemelingen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
25	Krieschow	1	0	0	1	-9	0
26	SC St. Tönis	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+11	3
2	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+9	3
3	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Dresden	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	St Pauli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Verl Hamburg

A. Farouk 🔁

↦ T. Heike

32′

40′

⚽ A. Gronbaek 0–1

P. Daka

Half-time 0–1

46′

🟨 Albert Grønbæk

46′

⚽ A. Gronbaek 0–2

L. Lemke

50′

⚽ L. Lemke 0–3

N. Remberg

60′

🔁 B. Nadir

↦ A. S. Lokonga

60′

🔁 O. Stange

↦ A. Gronbaek

Y. Otto 🔁

↦ J. Eze

61′

P. Lehmann 🔁

↦ J. Berner

62′

A. Foti 🔁

↦ B. Yalcinkaya

62′

R. Araoye 🔁

↦ N. Seidel

69′

75′

🔁 R. Philippe

↦ N. Capaldo

75′

🔁 Y. Poulsen

↦ L. Lemke

88′

🔁 J. Bissi Mouelle

↦ M. Adeline

Dennis Waidner 🟨

93′

Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Verl

4-2-3-1

1 T. Schlieck G

34 J. Berner D

27 F. Vogler D

5 N. Seidel D

19 N. Kijewski D

6 J. Eze M

8 D. Waidner M

10 B. Yalcinkaya

21 M. Clausen M

20 A. Leipold M

25 T. Heike F

Bench (9)

32 F. Pekruhl

14 P. Lehmann

11 M. Kaube

2 R. Araoye

26 A. Foti

7 A. Farouk

18 F. Wessig

30 A. Mesanovic

17 Y. Otto

Coach: Orest Shala

Hamburg

3-4-3

S. Tangvik G

N. Capaldo D

S. Bornauw D

S. Nandja D

B. Jatta M

A. S. Lokonga M

N. Remberg M

L. Lemke M

M. Adeline F

P. Daka F

A. Gronbaek F

Bench (9)

1 D. Heuer Fernandes

4 B. Nadir

22 K. Amoako

8 D. Elfadli

14 R. Philippe

19 O. Stange

15 Y. Poulsen

46 K. Ojo

48 J. Bissi Mouelle

Coach: Merlin Polzin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

L Erbst · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

3,8 / match

Below average

⚽ Free kicks

25,3 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Verl

Hamburg

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee