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Premier League

Referee: John Brooks

Fulham

S T T U S

2–3

Full-time

Chelsea

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fulham Chelsea

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,5

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,33 xG 2,24

62% Possession 38%

14 Shots 18

6 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 4

0 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+4	+3.5	3
2	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
3	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+3	+3.3	3
4	Everton	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.8	3
5	Hull	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.8	3
6	Man City	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.6	3
7	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
8	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
9	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.4	1
10	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
11	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.6	0
12	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
13	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
14	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
15	Man United	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
16	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0
17	Tottenham	1	0	0	1	-3	-3.3	0
18	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-4	-3.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+4	+3.5	3
2	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
3	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+3	+3.3	3
4	Everton	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.8	3
5	Hull	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.8	3
6	Man City	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.6	3
7	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
8	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.4	1
9	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
2	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
3	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.6	0
4	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
5	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
6	Man United	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
7	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0
8	Tottenham	1	0	0	1	-3	-3.3	0
9	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-4	-3.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.