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Serie A
Referee: Fabio Maresca
Bologna
T U S S U
0–1
Full-time
Lazio
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,78 xG 0,63
59% Possession 41%
14 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 19
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Inter 1 1 0 0 +3 -0.2 3
2 Napoli 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.1 3
3 Lecce 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.7 3
4 Atalanta 1 1 0 0 +1 -1.8 3
5 Milan 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.9 3
6 Cagliari 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.2 3
7 Juventus 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.8 3
8 Udinese 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.6 1
9 Como 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.6 1
10 Sassuolo 1 0 0 1 -1 +1.8 0
11 Torino 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.9 0
12 Parma 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.2 0
13 Frosinone 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.8 0
14 Genoa 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.1 0
15 Venezia 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.7 0
16 Monza 1 0 0 1 -3 +0.2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Mar -26 Bologna – Lazio 0–2 11. Feb -26 Bologna – Lazio 1–1 7. Dec -25 Lazio – Bologna 1–1 16. Mar -25 Bologna – Lazio 5–0 24. Nov -24 Lazio – Bologna 3–0

Match report

Bologna Lazio
19′
🔁 R. Floriani
↦ A. Marusic
22′
🟨 Romano Floriani Mussolini
Oussama El Azzouzi 🟨
34′
34′
🟨 Boulaye Dia
Nicolò Cambiaghi 🟨
41′
44′
🟨 Matteo Cancellieri
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 G. Isaksen
↦ M. Cancellieri
54′
🔁 D. Frattesi
↦ F. Dele-Bashiru
59′
⚽ D. Frattesi 0–1
B. Dia
F. Bernardeschi 🔁
↦ R. Orsolini
60′
J. Rowe 🔁
↦ N. Cambiaghi
60′
A. Dovbyk 🔁
↦ R. Piccoli
60′
E. Holm 🔁
↦ N. Zortea
69′
78′
🔁 N. Tavares
↦ A. Pedraza
M. Amondarain 🔁
↦ O. El Azzouzi
79′
79′
🔁 T. Noslin
↦ B. Dia
Torbjørn Heggem 🟨
83′
Jens Odgaard 🟨
83′
93′
🟨 Oliver Provstgaard
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Bologna

4-2-3-1
1 L. Skorupski G
20 N. Zortea D
5 E. Fauske Helland D
14 T. Heggem D
33 J. Miranda D
17 O. El Azzouzi M
19 L. Ferguson M
7 R. Orsolini M
21 J. Odgaard M
28 N. Cambiaghi M
91 R. Piccoli F
Bench (13)
25 M. Pessina
72 U. Happonen
29 L. De Silvestri
41 M. Vitik
23 R. Alhassane
6 N. Moro
4 T. Pobega
2 E. Holm
8 M. Amondarain
18 M. Libra
10 F. Bernardeschi
11 J. Rowe
9 A. Dovbyk

Coach: Domenico Tedesco

Lazio

4-3-3
35 C. Mandas G
77 A. Marusic D
5 D. Doekhi D
25 O. Provstgaard D
23 A. Pedraza D
7 F. Dele-Bashiru M
6 N. Rovella M
24 K. Taylor M
22 M. Cancellieri F
19 B. Dia F
10 M. Zaccagni F
Bench (14)
47 D. Renzetti
40 E. Motta
13 A. Romagnoli
17 N. Tavares
15 R. Floriani
33 R. Bordon
29 M. Lazzari
16 D. Frattesi
21 R. Belahyane
71 V. Farcomeni
14 T. Noslin
11 G. Isaksen
20 P. Ratkov
28 A. Przyborek

Coach: Gennaro Gattuso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,20
🔒
U
3,21
🔒
B ✓
3,35
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,17
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,65
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Fabio Maresca · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,42 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.