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Copa del Rey
Referee: Antonio Mateu
0–5
Full-time
Sevilla
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Linares Deportivo Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
This season — Copa del Rey · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
0,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

37% Possession 63%
11 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 7
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Linares Deportivo 22. · Sevilla 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 3 3 0 0 +14 9
2 Levante 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Sp Gijon 3 3 0 0 +6 9
4 Espanol 3 3 0 0 +6 9
5 Ceuta 3 3 0 0 +3 9
6 Sociedad 2 2 0 0 +8 6
7 Mallorca 2 2 0 0 +7 6
8 Celta 3 2 0 1 +6 6
9 Valladolid 2 2 0 0 +6 6
10 Osasuna 2 2 0 0 +5 6
11 Elche 3 2 0 1 +5 6
12 Sevilla 2 2 0 0 +5 6
13 Ath Madrid 2 2 0 0 +4 6
14 Cacereño 3 2 0 1 +3 6
15 Pontevedra 2 2 0 0 +3 6
16 Gimnastic 2 2 0 0 +3 6
17 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 2 2 0 0 +3 6
18 Ath Bilbao 2 2 0 0 +3 6
19 Intercity 2 2 0 0 +3 6
20 Getafe 3 2 0 1 +2 6
21 Oviedo 2 2 0 0 +2 6
22 Linares Deportivo 2 2 0 0 +2 6
23 Alaves 2 2 0 0 +2 6
24 Albacete 2 1 1 0 +3 4
25 UD Logroñés 2 1 1 0 +2 4
26 Eldense 2 1 1 0 +1 4
27 Saguntino 2 1 1 0 +1 4
28 Las Palmas 2 1 1 0 +1 4
29 Vallecano 3 1 1 1 +0 4
30 La Nucía 3 1 1 1 -1 4
31 Cartagena 3 1 1 1 -3 4
32 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +3 3
33 Eibar 2 1 0 1 +2 3
34 Andorra 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 Ibiza 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Guijuelo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
37 Tenerife 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Mollerussa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Fuentes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Granada 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Alcora 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Girona 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Real Unión 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Arenteiro 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Mirandes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Sestao River 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Numancia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Barbadás 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Velarde 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Diocesano 2 1 0 1 -1 3
52 Algar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Cazalegas 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Guadalajara 2 1 0 1 -2 3
55 Arenas Getxo 2 1 0 1 -3 3
56 CD Coria 2 1 0 1 -3 3
57 Santa Amalia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
58 Alcorcon 2 0 2 0 +0 2
59 Huesca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Coruxo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Utebo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Dinamo San Juan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Peña Deportiva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Real Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Atlético Baleares 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Ourense CF 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Montilla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Malaga 2 0 1 1 -1 1
71 Mérida AD 2 0 1 1 -1 1
72 Atlético Paso 2 0 1 1 -1 1
73 Burgos 2 0 1 1 -1 1
74 Arnedo 2 0 1 1 -2 1
75 Juventud Torremolinos 2 0 1 1 -3 1
76 Rincón 2 0 1 1 -3 1
77 Gernika 2 0 1 1 -3 1
78 Autol 2 0 1 1 -6 1
79 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Gimnástica Torrelavega 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Yeclano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Cadiz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Universitario FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Atlético Lugones 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Los Yébenes SB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Unión Adarve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Quintanar del Rey 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Turégano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Ferrol 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Lugo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Utrera 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Santander 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Zaragoza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Cirbonero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
99 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
100 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -1 0
101 Cardassar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Racing Rioja 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Cristo Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Fuenlabrada 1 0 0 1 -2 0
111 Almazán 1 0 0 1 -2 0
112 Lealtad 1 0 0 1 -2 0
113 Vimenor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
114 San Juan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
115 Almeria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
116 Alzira 1 0 0 1 -2 0
117 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
118 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
119 Amigó 1 0 0 1 -3 0
120 Huétor Tájar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
121 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -3 0
122 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
123 Olot 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Linares Deportivo Sevilla
37′
Y. En-Nesyri 0–1
M. Acuña
40′
Y. En-Nesyri 0–2
E. Lamela
Half-time 1–2
57′
L. Squadrone 1–2
own goal
62′
🔁 Jesús Navas
↦ Suso
Fran Callejón 🔁
↦ Nacho Abeledo
66′
Edu Viaña 🔁
↦ Fermín
66′
Fran García 🔁
↦ Rodri
66′
69′
E. Lamela 1–3
Joan Jordán
Antonio Cañete 🔁
↦ L. Squadrone
73′
73′
🔁 Fernando
↦ I. Rakitić
74′
Y. En-Nesyri 1–4
Jesús Navas
78′
🔁 Carlos Álvarez
↦ E. Lamela
78′
🔁 Nacho Quintana
↦ Y. En-Nesyri
Juan Lorente 🔁
↦ Aitor Gelardo
80′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Linares Deportivo

4-2-3-1
1 E. Juskevicius G
15 Javi Duarte D
5 Lolo González D
2 L. Squadrone D
11 Alfonso Fernández D
19 Aitor Gelardo M
8 Rodri M
17 Nacho Abeledo M
10 Fermín M
22 Álex Sancris M
7 Hugo Díaz F
Bench (9)
21 Fran Callejón
20 Edu Viaña
9 Fran García
4 Antonio Cañete
28 Juan Lorente
3 Iván Serrano
14 Samu Corral
13 Samu Casado
23 Alfonso Candelas

Coach: Alberto González

Sevilla

4-3-3
1 M. Dmitrović G
2 G. Montiel D
14 T. Nianzou D
6 N. Gudelj D
19 M. Acuña D
21 Óliver Torres M
8 Joan Jordán M
10 I. Rakitić M
7 Suso F
15 Y. En-Nesyri F
17 E. Lamela F
Bench (10)
16 Jesús Navas
20 Fernando
27 Carlos Álvarez
28 Nacho Quintana
43 Manu Bueno
11 A. Januzaj
13 Y. Bounou
44 Diego Hormigo
30 José Ángel Carmona
29 Kike Salas

Coach: J. Sampaoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.