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Super League
Referee: T Bognár
PAOK
S S S U S
1–0
Full-time
Aris Thessalonikis
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,7
This season — Super League · 17/15 matches
Win Ø 50%
53%
47%
Points per game
1,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
35%
40%
Both score Ø 37%
41%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
0,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
13 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 20
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 3. · Aris Thessalonikis 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 17 14 3 0 +22 45
2 AEK 17 12 2 3 +26 38
3 PAOK 17 9 6 2 +12 33
4 Olympiakos 17 9 5 3 +16 32
5 Volos NFC 17 8 5 4 +0 29
6 Aris Thessalonikis 15 7 4 4 +10 25
7 Aris 16 7 4 5 +9 25
8 Panetolikos 18 6 4 8 +1 22
9 Atromitos 17 5 5 7 -2 20
10 Asteras Tripolis 17 3 8 6 -7 17
11 Giannina 17 3 5 9 -19 14
12 OFI Crete 17 2 7 8 -12 13
13 Levadeiakos 18 2 6 10 -13 12
14 Lamia 17 1 7 9 -25 10
15 Ionikos 17 1 5 11 -18 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Sep -22 Aris Thessalonikis – PAOK 0–0 11. May -22 PAOK – Aris Thessalonikis 0–1 17. Apr -22 Aris Thessalonikis – PAOK 1–0 20. Feb -22 Aris Thessalonikis – PAOK 0–0 28. Nov -21 PAOK – Aris Thessalonikis 0–1

Match report

PAOK Aris Thessalonikis
Nélson Oliveira ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
19′
Douglas Augusto 🟨
30′
Andrija Živković 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 S. Ingason ⚽
K. Koulierakis
46′
49′
🟨 Marvin Peersman
63′
🔁 Manu García
↦ J. Iturbe
D. Biseswar 🔁
↦ K. Narey
76′
Brandon Thomas 🔁
↦ Nélson Oliveira
77′
79′
🔁 Rafael Camacho
↦ V. Darida
Filipe Soares 🔁
↦ I. Konstantelias
82′
T. Murg 🔁
↦ A. Živković
87′
Dominik Kotarski 🟨
90′
Stefan Schwab 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
23 Joan Sastre D
4 S. Ingason D
59 K. Koulierakis D
55 Rafa Soares D
8 Douglas Augusto M
22 S. Schwab M
77 K. Narey M
65 I. Konstantelias M
14 A. Živković M
9 Nélson Oliveira F
Bench (9)
21 D. Biseswar
71 Brandon Thomas
50 Filipe Soares
10 T. Murg
2 G. Kargas
19 L. Lyratzis
26 Tiago Dantas
20 Vieirinha
18 Ž. Živković

Coach: R. Lucescu

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
23 Julián G
22 M. Odubajo D
4 Fabiano D
14 J. Brabec D
43 M. Peersman D
13 O. Etebo M
16 V. Darida M
11 J. Iturbe M
10 M. García M
7 D. Mancini M
9 A. Gray F
Bench (9)
19 Manu García
64 Rafael Camacho
15 E. Rodríguez
18 B. Mazikou
2 S. M'Bakata
99 M. Siampanis
8 C. Doukouré
88 R. Sgouros
6 B. Dabo

Coach: A. Pardew

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

T Bognár · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.