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Serie A
Referee: L Marinelli
Lecce
T T U S S
2–1
Full-time
Lazio
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecce Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
27%
53%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,1
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,7
Conceded
1,1
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%
11 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lecce 16. · Lazio 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 15 13 2 0 +25 41
2 Milan 16 11 3 2 +15 36
3 Juventus 15 9 4 2 +17 31
4 Lazio 15 9 3 3 +15 30
5 Inter 15 10 0 5 +12 30
6 Atalanta 16 8 4 4 +7 28
7 Roma 15 8 3 4 +4 27
8 Udinese 15 6 6 3 +7 24
9 Torino 16 6 4 6 -1 22
10 Fiorentina 15 5 4 6 -2 19
11 Bologna 15 5 4 6 -5 19
12 Salernitana 16 4 5 7 -6 17
13 Empoli 15 4 5 6 -7 17
14 Monza 15 5 1 9 -6 16
15 Sassuolo 16 4 4 8 -8 16
16 Lecce 15 3 6 6 -3 15
17 Spezia 16 3 5 8 -12 14
18 Sampdoria 16 2 3 11 -20 9
19 Cremonese 15 0 7 8 -15 7
20 Verona 16 1 3 12 -17 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lecce Lazio
Lameck Banda 🟨
5′
14′
C. Immobile 0–1
N. Casale
37′
🟨 Nicolò Casale
Half-time 0–1
F. Di Francesco 🔁
↦ L. Banda
46′
Antonino Gallo 🟨
48′
1–1 Gabriel Strefezza
57′
61′
🔁 Felipe Anderson
↦ Pedro
61′
🔁 M. Vecino
↦ S. Milinković-Savić
2–1 L. Colombo
F. Di Francesco
71′
R. Oudin 🔁
↦ Gabriel Strefezza
73′
Morten Hjulmand 🟨
78′
79′
🔁 M. Cancellieri
↦ M. Zaccagni
79′
🔁 Marcos Antônio
↦ D. Cataldi
A. Ceesay 🔁
↦ L. Colombo
84′
85′
🔁 L. Romero
↦ T. Bašić
Y. Maleh 🔁
↦ JoanGonzàlez
89′
K. Askildsen 🔁
↦ A. Blin
89′
92′
🟨 Matteo Cancellieri
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lecce

4-3-3
30 W. Falcone G
17 V. Gendrey D
6 F. Baschirotto D
93 S. Umtiti D
25 A. Gallo D
29 A. Blin M
42 M. Hjulmand M
16 JoanGonzàlez M
27 Gabriel Strefezza F
9 L. Colombo F
22 L. Banda F
Bench (13)
11 F. Di Francesco
28 R. Oudin
77 A. Ceesay
32 Y. Maleh
7 K. Askildsen
21 F. Brancolini
31 J. Voelkerling Persson
13 A. Tuia
99 Pablo Rodríguez
1 M. Bleve
5 M. Pongračić
83 M. Lemmens
97 G. Pezzella

Coach: M. Baroni

Lazio

4-3-3
94 I. Provedel G
29 M. Lazzari D
15 N. Casale D
13 A. Romagnoli D
77 A. Marušić D
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
32 D. Cataldi M
88 T. Bašić M
9 Pedro F
17 C. Immobile F
20 M. Zaccagni F
Bench (12)
7 Felipe Anderson
5 M. Vecino
11 M. Cancellieri
6 Marcos Antônio
18 L. Romero
26 Ş. Radu
23 E. Hysaj
31 M. Adamonis
4 Patric
1 Luís Maximiano
44 R. Floriani
50 M. Bertini

Coach: M. Sarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,72
U
3,26
B
2,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,30
U2,5
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Marinelli · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.