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Copa del Rey

Referee: Víctor García

Conquense

0–1

Full-time

Sociedad

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Conquense Sociedad

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 9%

17%

Average goals

1,0

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

0,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

5,0

Scored

1,0

5,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+5,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

28% Possession 72%

13 Shots 22

4 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 14

2 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 12

6 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Conquense 44. · Sociedad 33. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celta	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Las Palmas	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Betis	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Vallecano	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Barbastro	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Valladolid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Pontevedra	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Elche	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Ferrol	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	Santander	2	2	0	0	+2	6
15	Almeria	2	2	0	0	+2	6
16	Ourense CF	2	2	0	0	+2	6
17	Marbella	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	Eldense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
19	Cartagena	2	2	0	0	+2	6
20	Zaragoza	2	1	1	0	+4	4
21	Girona	2	1	1	0	+4	4
22	Getafe	2	1	1	0	+3	4
23	Granada	2	1	1	0	+2	4
24	Tenerife	2	1	1	0	+2	4
25	Estepona	2	1	1	0	+1	4
26	Leganes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
27	Castellon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
28	Zamora	2	1	1	0	+1	4
29	Orihuela	2	1	1	0	+1	4
30	UD Logroñés	2	1	1	0	+1	4
31	Yeclano	2	1	0	1	+5	3
32	Deportiva Minera	1	1	0	0	+5	3
33	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+5	3
34	Villarreal	2	1	0	1	+4	3
35	Unionistas de Salamanca	2	1	0	1	+3	3
36	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
37	Burgos	2	1	0	1	+2	3
38	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+2	3
39	Vic	2	1	0	1	+2	3
40	Cadiz	2	1	0	1	+2	3
41	Barakaldo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	Cultural Leonesa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Conquense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Ceuta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Europa Fc	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Gimnastic	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Sp Gijon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	Parla Escuela	2	1	0	1	+0	3
51	Chiclana	2	1	0	1	-1	3
52	Cacereño	2	1	0	1	-1	3
53	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
54	Manises	2	1	0	1	-1	3
55	Sant Andreu	2	1	0	1	-1	3
56	Ejea	2	1	0	1	-1	3
57	UD San Pedro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
58	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
59	Salamanca UDS	2	1	0	1	-6	3
60	Ponferradina	2	0	2	0	+0	2
61	Olot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Escobedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Oviedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Real Ávila	2	0	1	1	-2	1
69	San Tirso	2	0	1	1	-4	1
70	Gévora	2	0	1	1	-5	1
71	Ontiñena	2	0	1	1	-7	1
72	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	SS Reyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Don Benito	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Atlético Paso	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Xerez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Cuarte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Badalona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Cortes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Llanera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
108	Levante	1	0	0	1	-3	0
109	CD Coria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
110	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
111	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
112	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
113	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
114	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
115	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-4	0
116	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0
117	Extremadura 1924	1	0	0	1	-4	0
118	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
119	Tudelano	1	0	0	1	-5	0
120	Jove Español	1	0	0	1	-5	0
121	Laredo	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barbastro	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Pontevedra	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Estepona	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	UD Logroñés	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Vic	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Marbella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Conquense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Europa Fc	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Chiclana	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Cacereño	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Sant Andreu	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Ejea	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	UD San Pedro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
18	Salamanca UDS	2	1	0	1	-6	3
19	Zaragoza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Ponferradina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Olot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Zamora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Orihuela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Escobedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Real Ávila	2	0	1	1	-2	1
27	San Tirso	2	0	1	1	-4	1
28	Gévora	2	0	1	1	-5	1
29	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Ceuta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Cultural Leonesa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Barakaldo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	SS Reyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Don Benito	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Andorra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Gimnastic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Atlético Paso	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Yeclano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Parla Escuela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Xerez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Cuarte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Badalona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Cortes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Llanera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	CD Coria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Manises	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Extremadura 1924	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
70	Tudelano	1	0	0	1	-5	0
71	Jove Español	1	0	0	1	-5	0
72	Laredo	1	0	0	1	-6	0
73	Ontiñena	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celta	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Las Palmas	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Betis	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Vallecano	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Valladolid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Elche	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Ferrol	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Almeria	2	2	0	0	+2	6
13	Eldense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
14	Cartagena	2	2	0	0	+2	6
15	Girona	2	1	1	0	+4	4
16	Getafe	2	1	1	0	+3	4
17	Granada	2	1	1	0	+2	4
18	Tenerife	2	1	1	0	+2	4
19	Leganes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
20	Castellon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
21	Yeclano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
22	Deportiva Minera	1	1	0	0	+5	3
23	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+5	3
24	Villarreal	2	1	0	1	+4	3
25	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
26	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+4	3
27	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Burgos	2	1	0	1	+2	3
30	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+2	3
31	Barakaldo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Zamora	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Orihuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Marbella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Parla Escuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Sp Gijon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Ontiñena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Ponferradina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Oviedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Levante	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Conquense Sociedad

Half-time 0–0

Joan Monterde 🔁

↦ Jesús Serrano

51′

62′

🔁 Sergio Gómez

↦ S. Becker

62′

🔁 Barrenetxea

↦ Jon Magunazelaia

José Álvarez 🔁

↦ Luis Castillo

64′

Raúl Caballero 🔁

↦ Héctor Rubio

64′

74′

🔁 Brais Méndez

↦ Jon Olasagasti

74′

🔁 Mikel Oyarzabal

↦ Javi López

Joan Monterde 🟨

76′

B. Sina 🔁

↦ Marcos Recuenco

78′

Bema Sina 🟨

82′

90′

🔁 Arkaitz Mariezkurrena

↦ Urko González

92′

⚽ Brais Méndez 0–1

Sergio Gómez

José Álvarez 🟨

99′

Pedro Inglés Valero 🟨

101′

Mark Motilla 🔁

↦ Pablo Olivares

105′

Pablo Mendoza 🔁

↦ Antonio Fernández

105′

🔁 L. Sučić

↦ Odriozola

Raúl Caballero 🟨

112′

Yuya Yoshimura 🟨

118′

Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Conquense

3-4-3

1 Raúl Bernabeu G

4 Marcos Recuenco D

5 Titi Fernández D

16 Pedro Inglés D

21 Luis Castillo M

8 Pablo Olivares M

10 Héctor Rubio M

3 Sergio Rodríguez M

14 Y. Yoshimura F

19 Antonio Fernández F

11 Jesús Serrano F

Bench (11)

7 Joan Monterde

6 José Álvarez

20 Raúl Caballero

24 B. Sina

26 Mark Motilla

27 Pablo Mendoza

9 Jairo Cárcaba

23 Kain

13 Álvaro Hormiga

28 Kliti Valisi

25 Manuel Corrochano

Coach: Roberto Gutiérrez

Sociedad

4-3-3

Unai Marrero G

2 Odriozola D

Jon Martín D

Jon Pacheco D

Javi López D

Jon Olasagasti M

Urko González M

Pablo Marín M

S. Becker F

U. Sadiq F

Jon Magunazelaia F

Bench (11)

17 Sergio Gómez

7 Barrenetxea

23 Brais Méndez

10 Mikel Oyarzabal

40 Arkaitz Mariezkurrena

24 L. Sučić

5 Zubeldia

34 Iñaki Rupérez

3 Aihen Muñoz

1 Álex Remiro

4 Martín Zubimendi

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5

–

🔒

U1,5 ✓

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

30. Oct CDR 1 year ago

Referee

Víctor García · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,6 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

26,7 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Conquense

Sociedad

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee