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La Liga
Referee: Francisco Hernández
Sociedad
T S S T S
2–0
Full-time
Betis
U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
17%
100%
Average goals
2,3
4,2
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
36%
36%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
21%
36%
Both score Ø 39%
21%
57%
Average goals
1,6
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

0,79 xG 0,39
41% Possession 59%
2 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 4
5 Offside 1
28 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 10. · Betis 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 15 11 1 3 +27 +15.8 34
2 Real Madrid 14 10 3 1 +19 +15.0 33
3 Ath Madrid 15 9 5 1 +18 +14.0 32
4 Ath Bilbao 15 7 5 3 +8 +6.9 26
5 Villarreal 14 7 5 2 +4 +7.5 26
6 Mallorca 15 7 3 5 +2 +3.1 24
7 Girona 15 6 4 5 +2 +4.5 22
8 Osasuna 14 6 4 4 -3 -5.1 22
9 Betis 14 5 5 4 +0 +3.6 20
10 Sociedad 14 5 3 6 +0 +2.6 18
11 Celta 15 5 3 7 -4 +4.3 18
12 Sevilla 14 5 3 6 -5 -2.8 18
13 Vallecano 14 4 4 6 -2 -0.9 16
14 Las Palmas 15 4 3 8 -6 -14.4 15
15 Leganes 15 3 6 6 -6 -11.9 15
16 Alaves 15 4 2 9 -9 -5.4 14
17 Getafe 15 2 7 6 -3 -0.5 13
18 Espanol 14 4 1 9 -12 -14.5 13
19 Valencia 13 2 4 7 -8 -8.6 10
20 Valladolid 15 2 3 10 -22 -13.2 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Betis
0–1 Diego Llorente
own goal
14′
Mikel Oyarzabal ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
29′
1–1 Mikel Oyarzabal
31′
Half-time 1–1
Jon Pacheco 🔁
↦ N. Aguerd
46′
Mikel Oyarzabal 🟨
47′
47′
🟨 Marc Bartra
Ander Barrenetxea 🟨
47′
Nayef Aguerd 🟨
51′
Sergio Gómez 🔁
↦ Barrenetxea
55′
Pablo Marín 🔁
↦ Beñat Turrientes
55′
55′
🔁 E. Ávila
↦ A. Ezzalzouli
55′
🔁 Iker Losada
↦ Carlos Guirao
U. Sadiq 🔁
↦ Mikel Oyarzabal
71′
71′
🔁 C. Bakambu
↦ Vitor Roque
79′
🟨 Chimy Ávila
Jon Olasagasti 🔁
↦ Brais Méndez
80′
83′
🔁 Mateo Flores
↦ Sergi Altimira
83′
🔁 Juanmi
↦ Jesús Rodríguez
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 Álex Remiro G
27 J. Aramburu D
5 Zubeldia D
21 N. Aguerd D
3 Aihen Muñoz D
23 Brais Méndez M
4 Martín Zubimendi M
22 Beñat Turrientes M
14 T. Kubo F
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F
7 Barrenetxea F
Bench (12)
20 Jon Pacheco
17 Sergio Gómez
28 Pablo Marín
19 U. Sadiq
16 Jon Olasagasti
12 Javi López
2 Odriozola
15 Urko González
11 S. Becker
31 Jon Martín
25 Jon Magunazelaia
13 Unai Marrero

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Betis

4-2-3-1
1 Rui Silva G
23 Y. Sabaly D
5 Marc Bartra D
3 Diego Llorente D
15 R. Perraud D
34 Carlos Guirao M
16 Sergi Altimira M
36 Jesús Rodríguez M
20 G. Lo Celso M
10 A. Ezzalzouli M
8 Vitor Roque F
Bench (11)
9 E. Ávila
19 Iker Losada
11 C. Bakambu
46 Mateo Flores
7 Juanmi
6 Natan
13 Adrián
12 R. Rodríguez
38 Assane Diao
24 Aitor Ruibal
25 Fran Vieites

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,79
U
3,58
B
4,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,23
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Francisco Hernández · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.