La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sociedad
Betis
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | +27 | +15.8 | 34 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | +19 | +15.0 | 33 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | +18 | +14.0 | 32 |
| 4 |
Ath Bilbao
|
15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | +8 | +6.9 | 26 |
| 5 |
Villarreal
|
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +4 | +7.5 | 26 |
| 6 |
Mallorca
|
15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +2 | +3.1 | 24 |
| 7 |
Girona
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | +2 | +4.5 | 22 |
| 8 |
Osasuna
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | -3 | -5.1 | 22 |
| 9 |
Betis
|
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +0 | +3.6 | 20 |
| 10 |
Sociedad
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +0 | +2.6 | 18 |
| 11 |
Celta
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -4 | +4.3 | 18 |
| 12 |
Sevilla
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 | -2.8 | 18 |
| 13 |
Vallecano
|
14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -2 | -0.9 | 16 |
| 14 |
Las Palmas
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -6 | -14.4 | 15 |
| 15 |
Leganes
|
15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -6 | -11.9 | 15 |
| 16 |
Alaves
|
15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -9 | -5.4 | 14 |
| 17 |
Getafe
|
15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -3 | -0.5 | 13 |
| 18 |
Espanol
|
14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -12 | -14.5 | 13 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -8 | -8.6 | 10 |
| 20 |
Valladolid
|
15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -22 | -13.2 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Álex Remiro
G
J. Aramburu
D
Zubeldia
D
N. Aguerd
D
Aihen Muñoz
D
Martín Zubimendi
M
Beñat Turrientes
M
T. Kubo
F
Mikel Oyarzabal
F
Barrenetxea
F
Coach: Imanol Alguacil
Rui Silva
G
Marc Bartra
D
Diego Llorente
D
R. Perraud
D
Carlos Guirao
M
Sergi Altimira
M
Jesús Rodríguez
M
G. Lo Celso
M
A. Ezzalzouli
M
Coach: M. Pellegrini
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sociedad
Ajax
Ath Bilbao
Sociedad
Jove Español
Sociedad
Sociedad
Barcelona
Plzen
Sociedad
Francisco Hernández · 50 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.