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Europa League
Referee: M Jug
Sociedad
S T S S T
2–0
Full-time
Ajax
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 4/10 matches
Win Ø 53%
25%
80%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
75%
60%
Both score Ø 65%
100%
30%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
1,5
0,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,04 xG 0,70
53% Possession 47%
12 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sociedad Ajax
Brais Méndez 🟨
21′
34′
🔁 C. Rasmussen
↦ B. Brobbey
Half-time 0–0
Beñat Turrientes 🔁
↦ L. Sučić
46′
J. Aramburu 🔁
↦ Aritz Elustondo
49′
Barrenetxea 🔁
↦ S. Becker
65′
65′
🔁 J. Banel
↦ B. Traoré
65′
🔁 B. van den Boomen
↦ S. Berghuis
1–0 Barrenetxea ⚽
T. Kubo
67′
74′
🔁 K. Hlynsson
↦ K. Fitz-Jim
74′
🔁 O. Wijndal
↦ J. Hato
81′
🟨 Owen Wijndal
2–0 T. Kubo ⚽
85′
Sergio Gómez 🔁
↦ T. Kubo
87′
U. Sadiq 🔁
↦ Mikel Oyarzabal
87′
89′
🟨 Branco van den Boomen
Jon Aramburu 🟨
90′
Aihen Muñoz 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 Álex Remiro G
6 Aritz Elustondo D
5 Zubeldia D
21 N. Aguerd D
3 Aihen Muñoz D
23 Brais Méndez M
4 Martín Zubimendi M
24 L. Sučić M
14 T. Kubo F
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F
11 S. Becker F
Bench (12)
27 J. Aramburu
22 Beñat Turrientes
7 Barrenetxea
17 Sergio Gómez
19 U. Sadiq
16 Jon Olasagasti
28 Pablo Marín
25 Jon Magunazelaia
13 Unai Marrero
31 Jon Martín
12 Javi López
20 Jon Pacheco

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Ajax

4-3-3
22 R. Pasveer G
2 D. Rensch D
37 J. Šutalo D
15 Y. Baas D
4 J. Hato D
23 S. Berghuis M
6 J. Henderson M
28 K. Fitz-Jim M
20 B. Traoré F
9 B. Brobbey F
10 C. Akpom F
Bench (11)
29 C. Rasmussen
49 J. Banel
21 B. van den Boomen
38 K. Hlynsson
5 O. Wijndal
24 D. Rugani
40 D. Ramaj
31 J. Mokio
12 J. Gorter
13 A. Kaplan
3 A. Gaaei

Coach: F. Farioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Jug · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.