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Copa del Rey

Referee: M Ortiz

Navalcarnero

T T S

2–3

Full-time

Getafe

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Navalcarnero Getafe

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,0

2,5

Conceded

1,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

11,0

Scored

2,0

11,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+11,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

33% Possession 67%

23 Shots 26

10 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 8

5 Corners 5

3 Offside 0

21 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Navalcarnero 46. · Getafe 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Palma del Rio	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	Sant Just	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Guadalajara	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	CD Sant Jordi	3	2	0	1	-2	6
9	Puerto de Vega	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Maracena	3	1	1	1	-3	4
11	CD Yuncos	3	1	1	1	-3	4
12	Deportivo Getxo	3	1	1	1	-6	4
13	Inter de Valdemoro	3	1	1	1	-9	4
14	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+11	3
15	Betis	1	1	0	0	+6	3
16	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+6	3
17	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
18	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
19	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	3
21	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+4	3
22	Elche	1	1	0	0	+4	3
23	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
24	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	3
25	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	Numancia	2	1	0	1	+2	3
31	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Ponferradina	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Extremadura 1924	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Malaga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Torrent	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Atlético Baleares	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
43	Celta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
44	Levante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Navalcarnero	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Ceuta	2	1	0	1	+1	3
48	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Antoniano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Real Ávila	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	Cieza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
56	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
57	SD Negreira	3	1	0	2	+0	3
58	Manises	2	1	0	1	+0	3
59	Portugalete	2	1	0	1	-2	3
60	Textil Escudo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
61	Los Garres	3	1	0	2	-4	3
62	Real Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Antequera	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Quintanar del Rey	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Ibiza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Atlético Astorga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Mirandes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	UD Ourense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Pontevedra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Reddis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Europa Fc	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	Betis Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-1	1
75	Ebro	2	0	1	1	-2	1
76	Universitario FC	2	0	1	1	-2	1
77	Sporting Ceuta	2	0	1	1	-2	1
78	Ferrol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
79	Campanario	2	0	1	1	-2	1
80	Alberite	2	0	1	1	-4	1
81	Orihuela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Mérida AD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Atlètic Lleida	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Castellon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Caudal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Puente Genil	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Estepona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Gimnastic	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	La Unión Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
109	Azuaga	1	0	0	1	-3	0
110	Lourdes	2	0	0	2	-3	0
111	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
112	Arenas Getxo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
113	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
114	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
115	Valle Egüés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
116	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
117	Sámano	1	0	0	1	-4	0
118	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
119	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	0
120	Atletico Calatayud	2	0	0	2	-6	0
121	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-6	0
122	Atlético Melilla	2	0	0	2	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Guadalajara	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Numancia	2	1	0	1	+2	3
3	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Puerto de Vega	2	1	0	1	+2	3
5	Extremadura 1924	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Torrent	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Atlético Baleares	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	SD Negreira	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Sant Just	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Navalcarnero	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Textil Escudo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Antoniano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Real Ávila	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Cieza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Palma del Rio	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Los Garres	2	1	0	1	-2	3
19	Portugalete	2	1	0	1	-2	3
20	CD Yuncos	2	1	0	1	-3	3
21	Maracena	2	1	0	1	-3	3
22	CD Sant Jordi	2	1	0	1	-4	3
23	Real Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Quintanar del Rey	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Atlético Astorga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Alberite	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	UD Ourense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Reddis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Campanario	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Ebro	2	0	1	1	-2	1
33	Deportivo Getxo	2	0	1	1	-7	1
34	Inter de Valdemoro	2	0	1	1	-11	1
35	Orihuela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Betis Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Atlètic Lleida	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Caudal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Puente Genil	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Estepona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	La Unión Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Azuaga	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Valle Egüés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	Sámano	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0
67	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+11	3
6	Betis	1	1	0	0	+6	3
7	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+6	3
8	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Elche	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Inter de Valdemoro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Ponferradina	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Malaga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	CD Sant Jordi	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Celta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Levante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Ceuta	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Deportivo Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Antequera	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Ibiza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Mirandes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Puerto de Vega	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Maracena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Universitario FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Pontevedra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Europa Fc	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Betis Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	CD Yuncos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Mérida AD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	SD Negreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Castellon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Gimnastic	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Los Garres	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Manises	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Campanario	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Arenas Getxo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Alberite	1	0	0	1	-4	0
75	Textil Escudo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
76	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Navalcarnero Getafe

1–0 I. Perera ⚽

6′

2–0 J. V. Perez ⚽

M. Jimenez

14′

19′

🟨 C. da Costa

Half-time 2–0

J. Dias 🔁

↦ Juanmi

46′

🔁 J. Montes

↦ A. Cordero

J. Villar 🔁

↦ I. Perera

57′

A. Altube Suarez 🔁

↦ J. V. Perez

57′

62′

🔁 H. Solozabal

↦ Y. Tallal

69′

⚽ A. Calado 3–0

own goal

Rober 🔁

↦ Messo

72′

🔁 Alex Sancris

↦ A. Kamara

79′

🔁 M. Martin

↦ Y. Neyou

79′

🔁 B. Mayoral

↦ Juanmi

M. G. Martinez 🔁

↦ M. Jimenez

81′

88′

⚽ M. Martin 3–1

I. Quivira 🔁

↦ J. Cruz

98′

104′

🔁 A. Liso

↦ C. da Costa

111′

⚽ J. Montes 3–2

Alex Sancris

Rober 🟨

116′

Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Navalcarnero

1 A. Calado G

19 A. Aunon D

6 R. de Souza D

5 A. Espinola D

3 Juanmi

21 I. Perera M

15 J. Cruz M

14 J. Bueno M

20 Messo M

9 J. V. Perez F

11 M. Jimenez F

Bench (11)

13 D. Simon

4 M. G. Martinez

7 Rober

8 I. Quivira

10 Peque

12 W. Chahid

22 J. Villar

23 J. Dias

24 A. Altube Suarez

30 M. Moraga

33 R. Esteban

Coach: Manuel Gonzalez

Getafe

J. Letacek G

39 Y. Tallal D

32 L. Laso D

43 A. Cordero

D. Rico D

A. Kamara M

Y. Neyou M

Javier Munoz M

20 C. da Costa M

7 Juanmi F

Joselu F

Bench (14)

13 D. Soria

2 Djene

17 Kiko Femenia

21 J. Iglesias

41 J. Montes

12 A. Nyom

22 D. Duarte

8 M. Arambarri

6 M. Martin

5 L. Milla

34 H. Solozabal

23 A. Liso

9 B. Mayoral

18 Alex Sancris

Coach: Jose Bordalas Jimenez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

29. Oct CDR 10 months ago

1. Nov CDR 2 years ago

12. Nov CDR 3 years ago

Referee

M Ortiz · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

3,2 / match

Below average

⚽ Free kicks

21,5 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Navalcarnero

Getafe

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee