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DFB-Pokal
Referee: Sascha Stegemann
Hertha
S S S S S
6–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Kaiserslautern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — DFB-Pokal · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,5
4,0
Scored
1,5
4,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

43% Possession 57%
15 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 2
11 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 15. · Kaiserslautern 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kaiserslautern 2 2 0 0 +8 6
2 Leverkusen 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Union Berlin 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 RB Leipzig 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Darmstadt 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Magdeburg 2 2 0 0 +5 6
7 Bayern Munich 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Freiburg 2 2 0 0 +4 6
9 M'gladbach 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 Bochum 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 Holstein Kiel 2 2 0 0 +3 6
12 Hamburg 2 2 0 0 +2 6
13 Ein Frankfurt 2 1 1 0 +5 4
14 Hoffenheim 2 1 1 0 +4 4
15 Hertha 2 1 1 0 +3 4
16 Stuttgart 2 1 1 0 +2 4
17 Dortmund 2 1 1 0 +1 4
18 Wolfsburg 2 1 0 1 +8 3
19 Heidenheim 2 1 0 1 +4 3
20 Karlsruhe 2 1 0 1 +3 3
21 Augsburg 2 1 0 1 +1 3
22 Greuther Furth 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Paderborn 2 1 0 1 +0 3
24 Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 1 0 1 +0 3
25 Bielefeld 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 Mainz 2 1 0 1 -1 3
27 FC Koln 2 1 0 1 -2 3
28 Cottbus 2 1 0 1 -2 3
29 Elversberg 2 1 0 1 -2 3
30 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 -3 3
31 St Pauli 2 0 2 0 +0 2
32 Braunschweig 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Nurnberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Preußen Münster 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Eintracht Norderstedt 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Illertissen 2 0 1 1 -3 1
37 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Atlas Delmenhorst 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Regensburg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 VfB Lubeck 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Pirmasens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Dresden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Ulm 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Hannover 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Lokomotive Leipzig 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Sandhausen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 FC Schweinfurt 05 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 FC Saarbrücken 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 FC Viktoria Koln 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 BFC Dynamo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 BW Lohne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 FC 08 Homburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Sportfreunde Lotte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -4 0
58 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1 0 0 1 -4 0
59 FV Engers 07 1 0 0 1 -5 0
60 FC Gutersloh 1 0 0 1 -5 0
61 Bahlinger SC 1 0 0 1 -5 0
62 ZFC Meuselwitz 1 0 0 1 -5 0
63 RSV Eintracht 1 0 0 1 -7 0
64 Hemelingen 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Kaiserslautern
1–0 L. Schuler
5′
Márton Dárdai 🟨
14′
2–0 M. Winkler
20′
28′
🟨 Naatan Skyttä
3–0 K. Eichhorn
M. Dardai
31′
45′
M. Ritter 3–1
F. Kleinhansl
Half-time 3–1
46′
🟨 Maxwell Gyamfi
46′
🔁 L. Robinson
↦ J. Elvedi
4–1 L. Schuler
M. Cuisance
60′
62′
🔁 F. Alidou
↦ D. Abiama
D. Kownacki 🔁
↦ L. Schuler
71′
M. Krattenmacher 🔁
↦ F. Reese
71′
74′
🔁 M. Haas
↦ F. Kleinhansl
74′
🔁 D. Hanslik
↦ I. Prtajin
5–1 D. Kownacki
M. Krattenmacher
75′
D. Demme 🔁
↦ P. Seguin
79′
J. D. Thorsteinsson 🔁
↦ M. Winkler
79′
M. Karbownik 🔁
↦ M. Dardai
79′
6–1 M. Krattenmacher
80′
81′
🟨 Marlon Ritter
83′
🔁 A. Afeez
↦ S. Sahin
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-3-1
1 T. Ernst G
44 L. Gechter D
37 T. Leistner D
31 M. Dardai D
27 N. Kolbe D
30 P. Seguin M
23 K. Eichhorn M
11 F. Reese M
10 M. Cuisance M
22 M. Winkler M
18 L. Schuler F
Bench (9)
35 M. Gersbeck
2 J. Eitschberger
6 D. Demme
8 K. Sessa
9 D. Kownacki
14 M. Krattenmacher
17 S. Gronning
24 J. D. Thorsteinsson
33 M. Karbownik

Coach: Stefan Leitl

Kaiserslautern

3-4-2-1
25 S. Simoni G
33 J. Elvedi D
6 F. Kunze D
4 M. Gyamfi D
31 L. Sirch M
15 N. Skytta M
8 S. Sahin M
3 F. Kleinhansl M
27 D. Abiama F
7 M. Ritter F
9 I. Prtajin F
Bench (9)
1 J. Krahl
22 M. Haas
23 A. Afeez
44 D. Hofmeister
20 T. Raschl
37 L. Robinson
48 F. Alidou
19 D. Hanslik
29 R. Tachie

Coach: Torsten Lieberknecht

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sascha Stegemann · 85 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.