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Copa del Rey
Referee: A Ruiz
0–3
Full-time
Alaves
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portugalete Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,0
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
7,0
Scored
1,0
7,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+7,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Portugalete 54. · Alaves 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Palma del Rio 3 2 0 1 +4 6
2 Sant Just 3 2 0 1 +4 6
3 CD Sant Jordi 3 2 0 1 -2 6
4 Puerto de Vega 3 1 1 1 +2 4
5 Maracena 3 1 1 1 -3 4
6 CD Yuncos 3 1 1 1 -3 4
7 Deportivo Getxo 3 1 1 1 -6 4
8 Inter de Valdemoro 3 1 1 1 -9 4
9 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +11 3
10 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +7 3
11 Betis 1 1 0 0 +6 3
12 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +6 3
13 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
14 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +5 3
15 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +5 3
16 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +4 3
17 Granada 1 1 0 0 +4 3
18 La Coruna 1 1 0 0 +4 3
19 Elche 1 1 0 0 +4 3
20 Santander 1 1 0 0 +4 3
21 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +4 3
22 CF Talavera 1 1 0 0 +3 3
23 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
24 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
25 Numancia 1 1 0 0 +3 3
26 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +3 3
27 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +3 3
28 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
29 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Ponferradina 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 Extremadura 1924 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 Malaga 1 1 0 0 +2 3
36 Cultural Leonesa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
37 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
38 Torrent 1 1 0 0 +2 3
39 Atlético Baleares 1 1 0 0 +2 3
40 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
41 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
42 Celta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
43 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
44 Levante 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Navalcarnero 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Guadalajara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Sabadell 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Sant Andreu 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 Antoniano 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 Real Ávila 1 1 0 0 +1 3
54 Portugalete 1 1 0 0 +1 3
55 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
56 Cieza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
57 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
58 SD Negreira 3 1 0 2 +0 3
59 Manises 2 1 0 1 +0 3
60 Textil Escudo 2 1 0 1 -3 3
61 Los Garres 3 1 0 2 -4 3
62 Real Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Antequera 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Quintanar del Rey 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Ibiza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Atlético Astorga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Mirandes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Ebro 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Tarazona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 UD Ourense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Pontevedra 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Reddis 1 0 1 0 +0 1
73 Europa Fc 1 0 1 0 +0 1
74 Langreo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
75 Ferrol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
76 Betis Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -1 1
77 Universitario FC 2 0 1 1 -2 1
78 Sporting Ceuta 2 0 1 1 -2 1
79 Campanario 2 0 1 1 -2 1
80 Alberite 2 0 1 1 -4 1
81 Orihuela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Constància 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Mérida AD 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Atlético Tordesillas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Atlètic Lleida 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Castellon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Real Avilés 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Valladolid 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Caudal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Puente Genil 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Oviedo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 UD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Ucam Murcia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Las Palmas 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Estepona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Tropezón 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Mutilvera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Gimnastic 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 La Unión Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
109 Azuaga 1 0 0 1 -3 0
110 Lourdes 2 0 0 2 -3 0
111 Toledo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
112 Arenas Getxo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
113 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
114 San Fernando CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
115 Valle Egüés 1 0 0 1 -4 0
116 Roda 1 0 0 1 -4 0
117 Sámano 1 0 0 1 -4 0
118 SD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -4 0
119 RSD Alcalá 1 0 0 1 -4 0
120 Atletico Calatayud 2 0 0 2 -6 0
121 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -6 0
122 Atlético Melilla 2 0 0 2 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.