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KNVB Beker

Referee: S Teuben

AFC Amsterdam

T S S T S

1–3

Full-time

Nijmegen

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AFC Amsterdam Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,7

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — KNVB Beker · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

5,0

Scored

2,0

3,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

26% Possession 74%

7 Shots 18

1 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 8

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 8

15 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AFC Amsterdam 42. · Nijmegen 38. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hsc 21	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Hoogeveen	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Hoek	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Sportlust '46	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	SC Genemuiden	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Heracles	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Spakenburg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Excelsior Maassluis	2	2	0	0	+5	6
10	Eemdijk	3	2	0	1	+4	6
11	GVVV Veenendaal	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Halsteren	3	2	0	1	+2	6
13	Capelle	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	Dovo	3	2	0	1	+1	6
15	ROHDA Raalte	3	2	0	1	+1	6
16	Gemert	3	2	0	1	+1	6
17	Sparta Nijkerk	3	2	0	1	+0	6
18	FC Lisse	3	2	0	1	-1	6
19	Barendrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	4
20	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+7	3
21	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+5	3
22	Roda	1	1	0	0	+4	3
23	Kozakken Boys	2	1	0	1	+3	3
24	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Twente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+2	3
28	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+2	3
29	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+2	3
30	Koninklijke HFC	2	1	0	1	+2	3
31	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	FC OSS	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	ASWH	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Waalwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	UDI '19	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Roosendaal	2	1	0	1	+1	3
40	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	AFC Amsterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	't Zand	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	TEC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Noordwijk	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	HHC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	HZVV	2	1	0	1	-2	3
50	SVV Scheveningen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	URK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	ARC	2	1	0	1	-4	3
53	Groene Ster	2	0	2	0	+0	2
54	Den Bosch	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Den Haag	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Heino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	De Foresters	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Katwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	VVOG	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	VV Scherpenzeel	2	0	1	1	-1	1
62	Blauw Geel	2	0	1	1	-1	1
63	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Poortugaal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Zwaluwen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Rijnvogels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Aalsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Mierlo-Hout	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	MVV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	ACV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Walcheren	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Staphorst	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	AWC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Juliana '31	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	Sportclub 25	1	0	0	1	-3	0
93	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
94	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
95	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
96	DVO	1	0	0	1	-3	0
97	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-3	0
98	FC Emmen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
99	GOES	1	0	0	1	-4	0
100	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-4	0
101	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
102	Erp	1	0	0	1	-4	0
103	Velocitas	1	0	0	1	-5	0
104	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoek	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Hoogeveen	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Hsc 21	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Eemdijk	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Halsteren	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	ROHDA Raalte	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	FC Lisse	3	2	0	1	-1	6
9	Sportlust '46	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+7	3
11	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Kozakken Boys	2	1	0	1	+3	3
14	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Kloetinge	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+2	3
18	GVVV Veenendaal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	't Zand	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	SVV Scheveningen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Waalwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Excelsior Maassluis	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	SC Genemuiden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Capelle	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Sparta Nijkerk	2	1	0	1	-1	3
29	Den Bosch	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Heino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	De Foresters	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Groene Ster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Katwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Blauw Geel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	VV Scherpenzeel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Zwaluwen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Roosendaal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Aalsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Walcheren	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	HHC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	AWC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Juliana '31	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	HZVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	Erp	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barendrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	SC Genemuiden	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Roda	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Excelsior Maassluis	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Twente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Hsc 21	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	HZVV	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	UDI '19	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Roosendaal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	HHC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	FC OSS	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Meerssen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	ASWH	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Capelle	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
27	AFC Amsterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Sparta Nijkerk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Sportlust '46	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Gemert	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	GVVV Veenendaal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Dovo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Hoogeveen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
35	URK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
36	ARC	2	1	0	1	-4	3
37	Den Haag	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Groene Ster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	VV Scherpenzeel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	VVOG	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Poortugaal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Blauw Geel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	TEC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Halsteren	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Rijnvogels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Mierlo-Hout	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	MVV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	't Zand	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	ACV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Staphorst	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Sportclub 25	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	DVO	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	GOES	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Velocitas	1	0	0	1	-5	0
71	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.