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Coppa Italia
Referee: D Di Marco
Genoa
S U S T S
1–0
Full-time
Reggiana
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Reggiana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
30 Shots 13
12 Shots on target 5
9 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 11
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Nov -23 Genoa – Reggiana 2–1

Match report

Genoa Reggiana
Milan Badelj 🟨
10′
16′
🟨 Antonio Vergara
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Paolo Rozzio
52′
🟨 Andrea Meroni
55′
🔁 T. Reinhart
↦ L. Cigarini
56′
🔁 O. Okwonkwo
↦ M. Maggio
R. Malinovskyi 🔁
↦ M. Badelj
61′
A. Zanoli 🔁
↦ S. Sabelli
61′
62′
🔁 L. Libutti
↦ A. Sersanti
1–0 Junior Messias ⚽
R. Malinovskyi
65′
77′
🔁 O. Urso
↦ G. Cavallini
77′
🔁 L. Vido
↦ R. Fiamozzi
J. Ekhator 🔁
↦ Vítinha
85′
Koni De Winter 🟨
88′
S. Fini 🔁
↦ Junior Messias
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Genoa

3-5-2
1 N. Leali G
14 A. Vogliacco D
13 M. Bani D
4 K. De Winter D
20 S. Sabelli M
32 M. Frendrup M
47 M. Badelj M
2 M. Thorsby M
3 Aarón Martín M
10 Junior Messias F
9 Vítinha F
Bench (13)
17 R. Malinovskyi
59 A. Zanoli
21 J. Ekhator
40 S. Fini
39 D. Sommariva
53 T. Pittino
69 H. Ahanor
73 P. Masini
55 F. Accornero
74 C. Papadopoulos
22 J. Vásquez
8 E. Bohinen
95 P. Gollini

Coach: A. Gilardino

Reggiana

4-5-1
1 E. Motta G
15 R. Fiamozzi D
13 A. Meroni D
4 P. Rozzio D
39 G. Cavallini D
25 L. Ignacchiti M
30 A. Vergara M
8 L. Cigarini M
5 A. Sersanti M
27 M. Maggio M
11 C. Gondo F
Bench (9)
16 T. Reinhart
18 O. Okwonkwo
17 L. Libutti
29 O. Urso
10 L. Vido
99 A. Sposito
33 D. Stramaccioni
87 Y. Nahounou
12 M. Donelli

Coach: W. Viali

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Di Marco · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.