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Superligaen
Referee: M Krogh
Midtjylland
S U S S S
2–0
Full-time
Vejle
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Vejle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,88 xG 0,60
48% Possession 52%
21 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
14 Corners 4
0 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 7
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Midtjylland 6. · Vejle 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 3 2 1 0 +4 +2.0 7
2 Randers FC 3 2 1 0 +3 +0.5 7
3 Brondby 3 2 1 0 +3 +1.9 7
4 FC Copenhagen 3 2 1 0 +3 +0.5 7
5 Silkeborg 3 2 0 1 +1 +1.8 6
6 Midtjylland 3 1 2 0 +2 +1.1 5
7 Aarhus 3 1 1 1 +3 +0.9 4
8 Aalborg 3 1 0 2 -4 -2.2 3
9 Viborg 3 0 1 2 -3 -1.8 1
10 Lyngby 3 0 1 2 -4 +0.5 1
11 Sonderjyske 3 0 1 2 -5 -2.5 1
12 Vejle 3 0 0 3 -3 -2.8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Midtjylland Vejle
1–0 O. Sørensen
E. Chilufya
39′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 O. Brynhildsen
A. Şimşir
58′
62′
🔁 M. Murata
↦ L. Hetemi
62′
🔁 M. Juwara
↦ S. Velkov
62′
🔁 M. Elvius
↦ C. Gammelgaard
A. Gabriel 🔁
↦ J. Andersson
63′
Franculino Djú 🔁
↦ E. Chilufya
63′
D. Osorio 🔁
↦ A. Şimşir
72′
E. Martínez 🔁
↦ K. Askildsen
72′
75′
🔁 Y. N'Gbakoto
↦ D. Emmanouilidis
81′
🔁 A. Jacobsen
↦ L. Hujber
A. Kamara 🔁
↦ O. Brynhildsen
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Midtjylland

4-2-3-1
16 E. Ólafsson G
6 J. Andersson D
4 O. Diao D
22 M. Bech D
15 C. Sørensen D
2 A. Rømer M
17 K. Askildsen M
24 O. Sørensen M
9 O. Brynhildsen M
58 A. Şimşir M
14 E. Chilufya F
Bench (9)
13 A. Gabriel
7 Franculino Djú
11 D. Osorio
5 E. Martínez
45 A. Kamara
1 J. Lössl
20 V. Byskov
21 D. Castillo
3 Lee Han-Beom

Coach: T. Thomasberg

Vejle

3-4-2-1
1 I. Vekić G
13 S. Velkov D
14 D. van Bruggen D
4 O. Provstgaard D
25 L. Hujber M
34 L. Hetemi M
5 H. Barry M
38 D. Čolina M
37 C. Gammelgaard F
17 D. Emmanouilidis F
9 G. Onugkha F
Bench (9)
71 M. Murata
11 M. Juwara
59 M. Elvius
7 Y. N'Gbakoto
18 A. Jacobsen
8 T. Lauritsen
20 D. Kolinger
24 T. Jakobsen
3 M. Albornoz

Coach: I. Prelec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Krogh · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.