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Eliteserien

Referee: S Sinnes

Sandefjord

T U S S T

2–2

Full-time

Stromsgodset

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandefjord Stromsgodset

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 27%

24%

29%

Points per game

0,9

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

71%

41%

Both score Ø 62%

76%

47%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

2,03 xG 0,50

57% Possession 43%

18 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sandefjord 16. · Stromsgodset 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	18	12	4	2	+25	+14.7	40
2	Brann	18	9	6	3	+6	+10.6	33
3	Viking	17	9	5	3	+10	+5.8	32
4	Molde	17	8	4	5	+12	+11.0	28
5	Fredrikstad	17	7	7	3	+8	+1.8	28
6	KFUM Oslo	17	5	8	4	+0	+4.5	23
7	Kristiansund	17	5	6	6	-2	-8.0	21
8	Rosenborg	16	6	3	7	-6	-1.7	21
9	Sarpsborg 08	17	6	3	8	-7	-4.8	21
10	Lillestrom	16	6	2	8	-7	-3.0	20
11	Stromsgodset	17	5	4	8	-7	-1.6	19
12	Ham-Kam	17	4	6	7	+0	-2.4	18
13	Tromso	18	5	3	10	-7	-9.0	18
14	Haugesund	16	5	2	9	-8	-6.0	17
15	Odd	17	4	5	8	-12	-9.5	17
16	Sandefjord	17	4	4	9	-5	-2.4	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	3	0	+14	+7.0	21
2	Viking	9	6	2	1	+7	+2.3	20
3	Brann	9	5	2	2	+4	+9.9	17
4	Rosenborg	8	5	1	2	+2	+2.3	16
5	Kristiansund	8	4	3	1	+4	+2.7	15
6	Molde	9	4	2	3	+6	+8.9	14
7	Sandefjord	8	4	0	4	+1	-0.2	12
8	Fredrikstad	8	2	5	1	+2	+2.5	11
9	Tromso	10	3	1	6	-2	-0.6	10
10	Sarpsborg 08	9	3	1	5	-7	+0.3	10
11	Stromsgodset	8	2	3	3	+0	+2.0	9
12	Haugesund	8	3	0	5	-4	-1.3	9
13	Odd	9	2	3	4	-5	-1.8	9
14	Lillestrom	8	2	2	4	-8	-3.6	8
15	Ham-Kam	8	1	3	4	-3	-2.7	6
16	KFUM Oslo	8	0	5	3	-6	+5.5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	1	2	+11	+7.6	19
2	KFUM Oslo	9	5	3	1	+6	-1.0	18
3	Fredrikstad	9	5	2	2	+6	-0.7	17
4	Brann	9	4	4	1	+2	+0.7	16
5	Molde	8	4	2	2	+6	+2.0	14
6	Ham-Kam	9	3	3	3	+3	+0.3	12
7	Viking	8	3	3	2	+3	+3.5	12
8	Lillestrom	8	4	0	4	+1	+0.5	12
9	Sarpsborg 08	8	3	2	3	+0	-5.1	11
10	Stromsgodset	9	3	1	5	-7	-3.6	10
11	Haugesund	8	2	2	4	-4	-4.7	8
12	Tromso	8	2	2	4	-5	-8.3	8
13	Odd	8	2	2	4	-7	-7.7	8
14	Kristiansund	9	1	3	5	-6	-10.6	6
15	Rosenborg	8	1	2	5	-8	-4.0	5
16	Sandefjord	9	0	4	5	-6	-2.2	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.