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Championship
Referee: J Smith
Blackburn
T S T U S
4–2
Full-time
Derby
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn Derby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,05 xG 1,08
47% Possession 53%
11 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 9
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Mar -22 Blackburn – Derby 3–1 30. Oct -21 Derby – Blackburn 1–2 16. Apr -21 Blackburn – Derby 2–1 26. Sep -20 Derby – Blackburn 0–4 8. Mar -20 Derby – Blackburn 3–0

Match report

Blackburn Derby
11′
🟨 Tom Barkhuizen
1–0 T. Dolan ⚽
19′
Half-time 1–0
A. Weimann 🔁
↦ R. Hedges
64′
S. Szmodics 🔁
↦ J. Rankin-Costello
65′
Y. Ohashi 🔁
↦ M. Gueye
65′
66′
🔁 J. Collins
↦ T. Barkhuizen
67′
⚽ C. Nelson 1–1
N. Mendez-Laing
2–1 A. Weimann ⚽
H. Carter
72′
73′
🔁 E. Adams
↦ K. Goudmijn
3–1 S. Szmodics ⚽
C. Brittain
76′
82′
🟨 James Collins
4–1 Y. Ohashi ⚽
S. Szmodics
84′
86′
🔁 T. Fornah
↦ D. Ozoh
86′
🔁 L. Thompson
↦ B. Osborn
86′
🔁 C. Forsyth
↦ C. Elder
Tyrhys Dolan 🟨
87′
D. Batth 🔁
↦ T. Dolan
87′
88′
⚽ K. Wilson 4–2
N. Mendez-Laing
90′
🟨 Eiran Joe Cashin
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Blackburn

4-2-3-1
1 A. Pears G
2 C. Brittain D
17 H. Carter D
5 D. Hyam D
3 H. Pickering D
27 L. Travis M
6 S. Tronstad M
11 J. Rankin-Costello M
10 T. Dolan M
19 R. Hedges M
9 M. Gueye F
Bench (9)
14 A. Weimann
8 S. Szmodics
23 Y. Ohashi
15 D. Batth
21 J. Buckley
7 A. Sigurðsson
29 J. Vale
13 J. Hilton
18 D. Markanday

Coach: J. Eustace

Derby

4-3-3
31 J. Vickers G
2 K. Wilson D
35 C. Nelson D
6 E. Cashin D
20 C. Elder D
17 K. Goudmijn M
4 D. Ozoh M
8 B. Osborn M
7 T. Barkhuizen F
19 K. Jackson F
11 N. Mendez-Laing F
Bench (9)
9 J. Collins
32 E. Adams
22 T. Fornah
16 L. Thompson
3 C. Forsyth
5 S. Bradley
13 R. Luthra
24 R. Nyambe
39 D. Brown

Coach: P. Warne

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,28
🔒
U
3,36
🔒
B
3,17
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,99
🔒
U2,5
1,82
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Smith · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.