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Coppa Italia

Referee: Marco Guida

Lazio

U S T S T

1–0

Full-time

Milan

U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Milan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

1,3

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%

11 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Como	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Milan	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Torino	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Genoa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Udinese	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Cagliari	3	1	2	0	+3	5
7	Virtus Entella	2	1	1	0	+4	4
8	Parma	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Audace Cerignola	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Venezia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Inter	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Vicenza	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Pescara	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	-2	3
19	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
20	Spezia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
21	Verona	2	0	2	0	+0	2
22	Napoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Reggiana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Palermo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
28	Pisa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
29	Empoli	2	0	1	1	-2	1
30	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Rimini	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Bari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Mantova	1	0	0	1	-4	0
41	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Como	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Milan	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Udinese	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Torino	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Cagliari	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Parma	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Audace Cerignola	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Inter	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Virtus Entella	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Pescara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Napoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vicenza	2	1	0	1	-1	3
2	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	-2	3
3	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Reggiana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Palermo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Pisa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Venezia	2	0	1	1	-4	1
12	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Rimini	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Bari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-3	0
25	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
26	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
27	Mantova	1	0	0	1	-4	0
28	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.