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Coupe de France
Referee: A Mercier
Tarentaise
0–5
Full-time
Villefranche

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Annecy 1 1 0 0 +7 3
2 Les Herbiers 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Gobelins 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Epinal 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Vire 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Louhans-Cuiseaux 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Grenoble 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Loon-Plage 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Sochaux 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Pau FC 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Dunkerque 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Thaon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Nimes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Belfort 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Bordeaux 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Rumilly Vallières 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 La Châtaigneraie 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Granville 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Châtellerault 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Paris FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Jura Sud Foot 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Villerupt Thil 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Union Cosnoise 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Saint-Estève Perpignan 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Olympique Marcquois 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Le Puy Foot 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Avranches 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Thiers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Grasse 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Boé Bon Encontre 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Bellevue Nantes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Vierzon FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 Guingamp 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 Marnaval 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 Limonest 1 1 0 0 +2 3
36 Wasquehal 1 1 0 0 +2 3
37 Mâcon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Reipertswiller 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Colomiers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Marcoussis Nozay 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Olympique St Quentin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Aiglon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Onet-le-Château 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Roche Saint-Genest 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Bergerac 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Pays de Cassel 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Feignies-Aulnoye 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Chateauroux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Drancy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Niort 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Haguenau 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 Lyon Duchere 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 Évreux 27 1 1 0 0 +1 3
54 Stade Pontivy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
55 Stade Béthunois 1 1 0 0 +1 3
56 Stade Plabennec 1 1 0 0 +1 3
57 Avoine OCC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
58 Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
59 Alençon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Le Havre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Caen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Montauban TG 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Olympique d'Alès 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Drapeau Fougères 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Le Mans 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Hyères 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Alberes Argelès 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Angoulême 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Trélissac 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Oissel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Poissy 1 0 1 0 +0 1
73 Orvault SF 1 0 1 0 +0 1
74 Laval 1 0 1 0 +0 1
75 St-Pryvé St-Hilaire 1 0 1 0 +0 1
76 Dijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
77 Toulon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
78 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
79 Aubervilliers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
80 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
81 Vannes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
82 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
83 Chambéry 1 0 1 0 +0 1
84 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 0 1 0 +0 1
85 Valenciennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
86 Red Star 1 0 1 0 +0 1
87 Chamalières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
88 Gueugnon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
89 Châteaubriant 1 0 1 0 +0 1
90 Lannion 1 0 1 0 +0 1
91 Fleury 91 1 0 1 0 +0 1
92 Reims Sainte-Anne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
93 AC Paris 15 1 0 1 0 +0 1
94 Linas-Montlhery 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Chambly Thelle FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 Amiens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Le Geldar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Grand Santi 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Sporting Baie-Mahault 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 St Etienne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 Rodez 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 Prix-lès-Mézières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
104 Bastia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
105 Vitré 1 0 1 0 +0 1
106 Ergué-Gaberic 1 0 1 0 +0 1
107 Bourges Foot 18 1 0 1 0 +0 1
108 Saint-Apollinaire 1 0 1 0 +0 1
109 Merpins 1 0 1 0 +0 1
110 Lège-Cap-Ferret 1 0 1 0 +0 1
111 Plouvorn 1 0 1 0 +0 1
112 Sablé 1 0 1 0 +0 1
113 Saint-Pierroise 1 0 1 0 +0 1
114 La Tamponnaise 1 0 1 0 +0 1
115 Velay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
116 Nancy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
117 Agde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
118 Le Pays du Valois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
119 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -1 0
120 Golden Lion 1 0 0 1 -1 0
121 Feurs 1 0 0 1 -1 0
122 Savigneux Montbrison 1 0 0 1 -1 0
123 Biars-Bretenoux 1 0 0 1 -1 0
124 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
125 Escaudain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
126 Poitiers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
127 Gallia Lucciana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
128 Mérignac-Arlac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
129 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
130 Saint-Priest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
131 Grand-Quevilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
132 Saint-Grégoire 1 0 0 1 -1 0
133 Éperlecques 1 0 0 1 -1 0
134 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Chauray 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 Gandrange 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 NDC Angers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
138 SA Mérignac 1 0 0 1 -2 0
139 Les Ulis 1 0 0 1 -2 0
140 Vaulx 1 0 0 1 -2 0
141 Villers-lès-Nancy 1 0 0 1 -2 0
142 Saint-Doulchard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
143 Narbonne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
144 Cambrai 1 0 0 1 -2 0
145 Andrézieux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
146 Chartres-de-Bretagne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
147 Fréjus St-Raphaël 1 0 0 1 -2 0
148 Cournon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
149 Lescar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
150 Basse Goulaine 1 0 0 1 -2 0
151 Pont Saintte-Maxence 1 0 0 1 -2 0
152 Auray 1 0 0 1 -2 0
153 JA Armentières 1 0 0 1 -2 0
154 Vénissieux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
155 Bondues 1 0 0 1 -2 0
156 Geispolsheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
157 Illzach Modenheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
158 Téteghem 1 0 0 1 -3 0
159 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
160 Salinieres Aigues Mortes 1 0 0 1 -3 0
161 Beauvais 1 0 0 1 -3 0
162 Sarre Union 1 0 0 1 -3 0
163 Bastia-Borgo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
164 Vénus 1 0 0 1 -3 0
165 Stade Bordelais 1 0 0 1 -3 0
166 Saint-Louis Neuweg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
167 Séné 1 0 0 1 -3 0
168 Heillecourt 1 0 0 1 -4 0
169 Havre Caucriauville 1 0 0 1 -4 0
170 Mareuil 1 0 0 1 -5 0
171 Liancourt Clermont 1 0 0 1 -5 0
172 Diables Noirs 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tarentaise Villefranche
2′
⚽ M. Blanc 0–1
15′
⚽ R. Sergio 0–2
19′
⚽ L. Bouchet 0–3
Half-time 0–3
N. Hassani 🔁
↦ L. Pouget
46′
F. Touré 🔁
↦ C. Bozkurt
46′
T. Vallier 🔁
↦ F. Djebli
46′
46′
🔁 N. Dhib
↦ C. MBuyi
46′
🔁 O. Badji
↦ N. Flégeau
58′
⚽ R. Sergio 0–4
59′
🔁 E. Norde
↦ D. Abanda Mfomo
59′
🔁 K. Manseri
↦ M. Blanc
59′
🔁 T. Emmanuelli
↦ S. Obissa
A. Lathuile 🔁
↦ Miguel Teixeira Silva
74′
F. Martin 🔁
↦ T. Jovet
83′
92′
⚽ K. Manseri 0–5
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Tarentaise

T. Jovet
A. Cretet
9 C. Bozkurt
Miguel Teixeira Silva
8 F. Djebli
C. Ba
Y. El Menan
A. Pessoz
10 J. Fillion Nicollet
I. Kouyaté
L. Pouget
Bench (7)
15 N. Hassani
17 F. Touré
18 T. Vallier
A. Lathuile
F. Martin
K. Martinet
16 V. Jeandet

Coach: J. Perney

Villefranche

L. Caruso
N. Flégeau
K. Renaut
S. Obissa
R. Sergio
J. Nirlo
M. Blanc
C. Da Silva
D. Abanda Mfomo
L. Bouchet
C. M'Buyi
Bench (7)
N. Dhib
O. Badji
E. Norde
K. Manseri
T. Emmanuelli
J. Bouet
M. Ba

Coach: H. Della Maggiore

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.