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Champions League
Referee: R Petrescu
Plzen
T T T T T
2–4
Full-time
Barcelona
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Plzen Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
4,3
3,5
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
3,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-2,7
+0,5
This season — Champions League · 11/5 matches
Win Ø 33%
45%
20%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
82%
60%
Both score Ø 48%
55%
40%
Average goals
3,6
3,6
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

23% Possession 77%
22 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 7
8 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Sep -22 Barcelona – Plzen 5–1

Match report

Plzen Barcelona
6′
⚽ Marcos Alonso 0–1
42′
🟨 Gavi
44′
⚽ Ferran Torres 0–2
Jordi Alba
45′
ℹ️ Ferran Torres
VAR: Goal confirmed
Half-time 0–2
Modou N'Diaye 🟨
47′
50′
🟨 Pablo Torre
1–2 T. Chorý ⚽
51′
54′
⚽ Ferran Torres 1–3
Raphinha
P. Bucha 🔁
↦ M. NDiaye
57′
M. Havel 🔁
↦ V. Jemelka
57′
57′
🔁 Alejandro Balde
↦ Jordi Alba
2–3 T. Chorý ⚽
A. Vlkanova
63′
67′
🔁 Marc Casadó
↦ F. Kessié
75′
⚽ Pablo Torre 2–4
Raphinha
77′
🔁 Álvaro Sanz
↦ Pablo Torre
A. Čermák 🔁
↦ L. Kalvach
78′
78′
🔁 O. Dembélé
↦ Raphinha
F. Bassey 🔁
↦ T. Chorý
79′
A. Kronus 🔁
↦ V. Pilař
88′
92′
🟨 Ferran Torres
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Plzen

4-2-3-1
36 J. Staněk G
44 L. Holík D
2 L. Hejda D
4 L. Pernica D
21 V. Jemelka D
99 M. N'Diaye M
23 L. Kalvach M
77 E. Jirka M
88 A. Vlkanova M
6 V. Pilař M
15 T. Chorý F
Bench (9)
20 P. Bucha
24 M. Havel
25 A. Čermák
90 F. Bassey
30 A. Kronus
32 A. Vrba
13 M. Tvrdoň
16 M. Jedlička
34 P. Gaszczyk

Coach: M. Bílek

Barcelona

4-3-3
26 Iñaki Peña G
2 Héctor Bellerín D
3 Piqué D
17 Marcos Alonso D
18 Jordi Alba D
30 Gavi M
19 F. Kessié M
32 Pablo Torre M
22 Raphinha F
10 Ansu Fati F
11 Ferran Torres F
Bench (10)
28 Alejandro Balde
29 Marc Casadó
34 Álvaro Sanz
7 O. Dembélé
36 Arnau Tenas
8 Pedri
33 Álex Valle
1 M. ter Stegen
21 F. de Jong
27 Ilias Akhomach

Coach: Xavi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Petrescu · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.