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Championship

Referee: J Busby

Preston

T T S T S

1–0

Full-time

Swansea

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preston Swansea

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — Championship · 18/17 matches

Win Ø 40%

33%

47%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

22%

53%

Both score Ø 41%

28%

53%

Average goals

1,6

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,4

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

28% Possession 72%

9 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 8

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Preston 9. · Swansea 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	18	9	8	1	+16	35
2	Blackburn	18	11	0	7	+5	33
3	QPR	17	9	3	5	+6	30
4	Sheffield United	17	8	5	4	+12	29
5	Norwich	18	8	4	6	+6	28
6	Swansea	17	8	4	5	+0	28
7	Watford	17	7	5	5	+4	26
8	Millwall	17	8	2	7	+2	26
9	Preston	18	6	7	5	-2	25
10	Reading	17	8	1	8	-5	25
11	Luton	16	6	6	4	+2	24
12	Birmingham	17	6	5	6	+3	23
13	Rotherham	17	5	7	5	+0	22
14	Bristol City	18	6	4	8	-1	22
15	Blackpool	17	6	4	7	-3	22
16	Cardiff	17	6	3	8	-6	21
17	Sunderland	16	5	5	6	+1	20
18	Hull	17	6	2	9	-12	20
19	Stoke	17	5	4	8	-5	19
20	Wigan	17	5	4	8	-8	19
21	Middlesbrough	16	4	5	7	-2	17
22	Huddersfield	16	4	3	9	-5	15
23	West Brom	17	2	8	7	-4	14
24	Coventry	14	3	5	6	-4	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Blackburn	9	7	0	2	+9	21
2	Millwall	9	7	0	2	+9	21
3	Burnley	9	5	4	0	+9	19
4	Reading	9	6	1	2	+5	19
5	Norwich	9	5	2	2	+7	17
6	QPR	8	5	2	1	+7	17
7	Watford	8	5	1	2	+6	16
8	Swansea	9	5	1	3	+2	16
9	Sheffield United	8	4	3	1	+9	15
10	Rotherham	9	4	3	2	+6	15
11	Bristol City	9	4	2	3	+4	14
12	Cardiff	8	4	2	2	+2	14
13	Huddersfield	9	4	1	4	+2	13
14	Middlesbrough	9	3	4	2	+1	13
15	Birmingham	8	3	3	2	+4	12
16	Hull	9	4	0	5	-6	12
17	Luton	8	2	4	2	+2	10
18	Sunderland	8	2	4	2	+1	10
19	Blackpool	8	3	1	4	+0	10
20	Preston	9	2	4	3	-3	10
21	Stoke	8	2	2	4	-4	8
22	West Brom	9	1	4	4	-3	7
23	Wigan	9	1	3	5	-10	6
24	Coventry	5	1	1	3	-2	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	9	4	4	1	+7	16
2	Preston	9	4	3	2	+1	15
3	Sheffield United	9	4	2	3	+3	14
4	Luton	8	4	2	2	+0	14
5	Wigan	8	4	1	3	+2	13
6	QPR	9	4	1	4	-1	13
7	Swansea	8	3	3	2	-2	12
8	Blackpool	9	3	3	3	-3	12
9	Blackburn	9	4	0	5	-4	12
10	Stoke	9	3	2	4	-1	11
11	Norwich	9	3	2	4	-1	11
12	Birmingham	9	3	2	4	-1	11
13	Sunderland	8	3	1	4	+0	10
14	Coventry	9	2	4	3	-2	10
15	Watford	9	2	4	3	-2	10
16	Bristol City	9	2	2	5	-5	8
17	Hull	8	2	2	4	-6	8
18	West Brom	8	1	4	3	-1	7
19	Rotherham	8	1	4	3	-6	7
20	Cardiff	9	2	1	6	-8	7
21	Reading	8	2	0	6	-10	6
22	Millwall	8	1	2	5	-7	5
23	Middlesbrough	7	1	1	5	-3	4
24	Huddersfield	7	0	2	5	-7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.