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Champions League
Referee: T Stieler
Liverpool
S S T S T
2–0
Full-time
Napoli
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Napoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
2,2
3,2
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+2,3
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 90%
80%
100%
Points per game
2,4
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 90%
80%
100%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
4,2
4,8
Scored
3,0
4,0
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+3,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
14 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Sep -22 Napoli – Liverpool 4–1

Match report

Liverpool Napoli
Ibrahima Konaté 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–0
H. Elliott 🔁
↦ J. Milner
48′
57′
ℹ️ Leo Østigård
VAR: Goal cancelled
70′
🔁 H. Lozano
↦ M. Politano
Trent Alexander-Arnold 🟨
73′
D. Núñez 🔁
↦ C. Jones
73′
83′
🔁 P. Zieliński
↦ S. Lobotka
83′
🔁 E. Elmas
↦ K. Kvaratskhelia
1–0 Mohamed Salah ⚽
85′
C. Ramsay 🔁
↦ T. Alexander-Arnold
87′
Fábio Carvalho 🔁
↦ Roberto Firmino
87′
Stefan Bajčetić 🔁
↦ Thiago Alcântara
87′
87′
🔁 G. Raspadori
↦ T. Ndombélé
87′
🔁 G. Simeone
↦ V. Osimhen
Darwin Núñez 🟨
94′
2–0 D. Núñez ⚽
98′
Darwin Núñez ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
100′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Liverpool

4-3-3
1 Alisson G
66 T. Alexander-Arnold D
5 I. Konaté D
4 V. van Dijk D
21 K. Tsimikas D
7 J. Milner M
3 Fabinho M
6 Thiago Alcântara M
11 Mohamed Salah F
9 Roberto Firmino F
17 C. Jones F
Bench (10)
19 H. Elliott
27 D. Núñez
22 C. Ramsay
28 Fábio Carvalho
43 Stefan Bajčetić
26 A. Robertson
47 N. Phillips
13 Adrián
62 C. Kelleher
2 J. Gomez

Coach: J. Klopp

Napoli

4-3-3
1 A. Meret G
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
55 L. Østigård D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
17 M. Olivera D
99 A. Zambo Anguissa M
68 S. Lobotka M
91 T. Ndombélé M
21 M. Politano F
9 V. Osimhen F
77 K. Kvaratskhelia F
Bench (12)
11 H. Lozano
20 P. Zieliński
7 E. Elmas
81 G. Raspadori
18 G. Simeone
6 Mário Rui
23 A. Zerbin
16 H. Idasiak
30 S. Sirigu
59 A. Zanoli
70 G. Gaetano
5 Juan Jesus

Coach: L. Spalletti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.