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Coupe de France
Referee: E Barenton
1–4
Full-time
Chateauroux
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lège-Cap-Ferret Chateauroux
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
0,0
1,8
Scored
0,0
0,7
Conceded
0,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Coupe de France · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lège-Cap-Ferret 107. · Chateauroux 53.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Annecy 2 2 0 0 +8 6
2 Granville 2 2 0 0 +8 6
3 Dunkerque 2 2 0 0 +7 6
4 Nimes 2 2 0 0 +7 6
5 Grenoble 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Paris FC 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Belfort 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Pau FC 2 2 0 0 +4 6
9 La Châtaigneraie 2 2 0 0 +4 6
10 Le Puy Foot 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 Avranches 2 2 0 0 +3 6
12 Grasse 2 2 0 0 +3 6
13 Stade Plabennec 2 2 0 0 +2 6
14 Metz 2 2 0 0 +2 6
15 Évreux 27 3 2 0 1 -2 6
16 Amiens 2 1 1 0 +10 4
17 Les Herbiers 2 1 1 0 +5 4
18 Sochaux 2 1 1 0 +3 4
19 Aubagne 2 1 1 0 +3 4
20 Chamalières 2 1 1 0 +3 4
21 Thaon 2 1 1 0 +3 4
22 Loon-Plage 2 1 1 0 +3 4
23 Valenciennes 2 1 1 0 +3 4
24 Bastia 2 1 1 0 +3 4
25 Guingamp 2 1 1 0 +2 4
26 Chambéry 2 1 1 0 +1 4
27 Linas-Montlhery 2 1 1 0 +1 4
28 Bergerac 2 1 1 0 +1 4
29 Niort 2 1 1 0 +1 4
30 Rodez 2 1 1 0 +1 4
31 Stade Pontivy 2 1 1 0 +1 4
32 Gobelins 2 1 0 1 +4 3
33 Vire 1 1 0 0 +4 3
34 Louhans-Cuiseaux 1 1 0 0 +3 3
35 Villefranche 2 1 0 1 +3 3
36 Epinal 2 1 0 1 +3 3
37 Bordeaux 1 1 0 0 +3 3
38 Châtellerault 1 1 0 0 +2 3
39 Rumilly Vallières 2 1 0 1 +2 3
40 Jura Sud Foot 1 1 0 0 +2 3
41 Villerupt Thil 1 1 0 0 +2 3
42 Saint-Estève Perpignan 1 1 0 0 +2 3
43 Olympique Marcquois 1 1 0 0 +2 3
44 Bellevue Nantes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
45 Vierzon FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
46 Limonest 1 1 0 0 +2 3
47 Wasquehal 1 1 0 0 +2 3
48 Thiers 2 1 0 1 +1 3
49 Reipertswiller 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Marcoussis Nozay 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Olympique St Quentin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 Pays de Cassel 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 Chateauroux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
54 Drancy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
55 Avoine OCC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
56 Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
57 Lyon Duchere 2 1 0 1 +0 3
58 Colomiers 2 1 0 1 +0 3
59 Union Cosnoise 2 1 0 1 +0 3
60 Haguenau 2 1 0 1 +0 3
61 Onet-le-Château 2 1 0 1 +0 3
62 Roche Saint-Genest 2 1 0 1 +0 3
63 Boé Bon Encontre 2 1 0 1 -1 3
64 Marnaval 2 1 0 1 -1 3
65 Mâcon 2 1 0 1 -2 3
66 Feignies-Aulnoye 2 1 0 1 -2 3
67 Stade Béthunois 2 1 0 1 -3 3
68 Aiglon 2 1 0 1 -9 3
69 Alençon 2 0 2 0 +0 2
70 Oissel 2 0 2 0 +0 2
71 St-Pryvé St-Hilaire 2 0 2 0 +0 2
72 Bourges Foot 18 2 0 2 0 +0 2
73 Le Havre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
74 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
75 Caen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
76 Olympique d'Alès 1 0 1 0 +0 1
77 Le Mans 1 0 1 0 +0 1
78 Hyères 1 0 1 0 +0 1
79 Alberes Argelès 1 0 1 0 +0 1
80 Angoulême 1 0 1 0 +0 1
81 Trélissac 1 0 1 0 +0 1
82 Poissy 1 0 1 0 +0 1
83 Laval 1 0 1 0 +0 1
84 Dijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
85 Toulon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
86 Aubervilliers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
87 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
88 Vannes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
89 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
90 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 0 1 0 +0 1
91 Red Star 1 0 1 0 +0 1
92 Gueugnon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
93 Châteaubriant 1 0 1 0 +0 1
94 Lannion 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Fleury 91 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 Reims Sainte-Anne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 AC Paris 15 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Chambly Thelle FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Le Geldar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 Sporting Baie-Mahault 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 St Etienne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 Prix-lès-Mézières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
104 Vitré 1 0 1 0 +0 1
105 Saint-Apollinaire 1 0 1 0 +0 1
106 Merpins 1 0 1 0 +0 1
107 Lège-Cap-Ferret 1 0 1 0 +0 1
108 Plouvorn 1 0 1 0 +0 1
109 Sablé 1 0 1 0 +0 1
110 Saint-Pierroise 1 0 1 0 +0 1
111 La Tamponnaise 1 0 1 0 +0 1
112 Drapeau Fougères 2 0 1 1 -1 1
113 Orvault SF 2 0 1 1 -1 1
114 Ergué-Gaberic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
115 Grand Santi 2 0 1 1 -3 1
116 Montauban TG 2 0 1 1 -4 1
117 Velay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
118 Nancy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
119 Agde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
120 Le Pays du Valois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
121 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -1 0
122 Golden Lion 1 0 0 1 -1 0
123 Feurs 1 0 0 1 -1 0
124 Savigneux Montbrison 1 0 0 1 -1 0
125 Biars-Bretenoux 1 0 0 1 -1 0
126 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
127 Escaudain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
128 Raon l'Etape 1 0 0 1 -1 0
129 Poitiers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
130 Gallia Lucciana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
131 Mérignac-Arlac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
132 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
133 Saint-Priest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
134 Grand-Quevilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Saint-Grégoire 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 Éperlecques 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
138 Chauray 1 0 0 1 -1 0
139 Gandrange 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 NDC Angers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
141 SA Mérignac 1 0 0 1 -2 0
142 Les Ulis 1 0 0 1 -2 0
143 Vaulx 1 0 0 1 -2 0
144 Villers-lès-Nancy 1 0 0 1 -2 0
145 Saint-Doulchard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
146 Narbonne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
147 Cambrai 1 0 0 1 -2 0
148 Andrézieux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
149 Chartres-de-Bretagne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
150 Fréjus St-Raphaël 1 0 0 1 -2 0
151 Cournon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
152 Lescar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
153 Basse Goulaine 1 0 0 1 -2 0
154 Pont Saintte-Maxence 1 0 0 1 -2 0
155 Auray 1 0 0 1 -2 0
156 JA Armentières 1 0 0 1 -2 0
157 Vénissieux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
158 Bondues 1 0 0 1 -2 0
159 Geispolsheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
160 Illzach Modenheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
161 Téteghem 1 0 0 1 -3 0
162 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
163 Salinieres Aigues Mortes 1 0 0 1 -3 0
164 Beauvais 1 0 0 1 -3 0
165 Sarre Union 1 0 0 1 -3 0
166 Bastia-Borgo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
167 Vénus 1 0 0 1 -3 0
168 Stade Bordelais 1 0 0 1 -3 0
169 Saint-Louis Neuweg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
170 Séné 1 0 0 1 -3 0
171 Heillecourt 1 0 0 1 -4 0
172 Havre Caucriauville 1 0 0 1 -4 0
173 Mareuil 1 0 0 1 -5 0
174 Liancourt Clermont 1 0 0 1 -5 0
175 Tarentaise 1 0 0 1 -5 0
176 Diables Noirs 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.