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LaLiga2
Referee: Mateo Busquets
Zaragoza
T S T T T
1–1
Full-time
Malaga
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 20%
27%
13%
Points per game
1,1
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
20%
40%
Both score Ø 37%
27%
47%
Average goals
1,5
2,1
Scored
0,6
0,7
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

77% Possession 23%
24 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
15 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Zaragoza 18. · Malaga 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alaves 15 8 6 1 +6 30
2 Las Palmas 15 7 6 2 +9 27
3 Burgos 15 7 6 2 +8 27
4 Levante 15 7 5 3 +6 26
5 Eibar 15 7 5 3 +5 26
6 Granada 16 7 4 5 +8 25
7 Cartagena 15 7 4 4 +5 25
8 Huesca 16 6 5 5 +2 23
9 Sp Gijon 16 5 7 4 +1 22
10 Albacete 16 5 7 4 -2 22
11 Andorra 15 6 3 6 +2 21
12 Leganes 16 6 3 7 +0 21
13 Tenerife 16 5 5 6 +0 20
14 Villarreal B 15 5 5 5 -1 20
15 Santander 15 4 6 5 -2 18
16 Oviedo 16 4 5 7 -4 17
17 Ponferradina 16 4 5 7 -7 17
18 Zaragoza 15 4 4 7 -4 16
19 Lugo 15 3 5 7 -4 14
20 Mirandes 15 2 7 6 -6 13
21 Ibiza 15 3 3 9 -12 12
22 Malaga 15 2 4 9 -10 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza Malaga
14′
🟥 Javi Jiménez
Fran Gámez 🟨
31′
Half-time 0–0
Gaizka Larrazabal 🔁
↦ Fran Gámez
46′
61′
🔁 Loren Zúñiga
↦ Fran Sol
Miguel Puche 🔁
↦ V. Vada
66′
Sergio Bermejo Lillo 🟨
67′
69′
🔁 Genaro Rodríguez
↦ Alberto Escassi
Eugeni Valderrama 🔁
↦ Alberto Zapater
73′
74′
🟨 Aleix Febas
78′
🔁 H. Abaida
↦ Pablo Hervías
78′
🔁 Jozabed
↦ Aleix Febas
78′
🔁 Jonás Ramalho
↦ Luis Muñoz
79′
H. Abaida 0–1
Francho Serrano 🔁
↦ Víctor Mollejo
80′
M. Gueye 🔁
↦ Jaume Grau
80′
84′
🟨 Esteban Burgos
1–1 G. Simeone
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Zaragoza

4-4-2
13 Álvaro Ratón G
18 Fran Gámez D
24 Lluís López D
3 Jair Amador D
2 G. Fuentes D
10 Sergio Bermejo M
21 Alberto Zapater M
5 Jaume Grau M
11 V. Vada M
28 Víctor Mollejo F
20 G. Simeone F
Bench (12)
12 Gaizka Larrazabal
7 Miguel Puche
8 Eugeni Valderrama
14 Francho Serrano
19 M. Gueye
17 Carlos Nieto
35 Dani Rebollo
4 R. Petrović
6 Alejandro Francés
23 Manu Molina
22 Carlos Vigaray
16 Daniel Lasure

Coach: Carcedo

Malaga

4-1-4-1
13 Rubén Yáñez G
4 Unai Bustinza D
20 E. Burgos D
5 Juande Rivas D
3 Javi Jiménez D
23 Alberto Escassi M
14 Pablo Hervías M
10 Aleix Febas M
8 Luis Muñoz M
39 Cristian Gutiérrez M
9 Fran Sol F
Bench (11)
29 Loren Zúñiga
16 Genaro Rodríguez
34 H. Abaida
19 Jozabed
22 Jonás Ramalho
15 L. Agbenyenu
1 Manolo Reina
2 Juanfran
21 Fran Villalba
12 P. Chavarría
24 Rubén Castro

Coach: Pepe Mel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,04
U ✓
2,97
B
4,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,73
U2,5 ✓
1,43
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mateo Busquets · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,44 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.