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LaLiga2
Referee: Aitor Gorostegui
Ponferradina
U T S T T
1–1
Full-time
Oviedo
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
27%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
60%
20%
Both score Ø 47%
60%
33%
Average goals
2,6
1,5
Scored
1,1
0,6
Conceded
1,5
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

72% Possession 28%
8 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 1
0 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ponferradina 18. · Oviedo 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alaves 15 8 6 1 +6 30
2 Las Palmas 15 7 6 2 +9 27
3 Burgos 15 7 6 2 +8 27
4 Levante 15 7 5 3 +6 26
5 Eibar 15 7 5 3 +5 26
6 Granada 16 7 4 5 +8 25
7 Cartagena 15 7 4 4 +5 25
8 Huesca 15 6 5 4 +4 23
9 Albacete 16 5 7 4 -2 22
10 Andorra 15 6 3 6 +2 21
11 Sp Gijon 15 5 6 4 +1 21
12 Leganes 15 6 2 7 +0 20
13 Villarreal B 15 5 5 5 -1 20
14 Santander 15 4 6 5 -2 18
15 Tenerife 15 4 5 6 -2 17
16 Zaragoza 15 4 4 7 -4 16
17 Oviedo 15 4 4 7 -4 16
18 Ponferradina 15 4 4 7 -7 16
19 Lugo 15 3 5 7 -4 14
20 Mirandes 15 2 7 6 -6 13
21 Ibiza 15 3 3 9 -12 12
22 Malaga 15 2 4 9 -10 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ponferradina Oviedo
Eduardo Espiau ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
17′
23′
🟨 Borja Bastón
Moises Delgado 🟨
25′
Half-time 0–0
Ibrahim Covi 🔁
↦ Adrián Diéguez
46′
57′
Borja Bastón 0–1
Hugo Rama
José Naranjo 🔁
↦ Yuri
63′
Ale Díez 🔁
↦ Moi Delgado
63′
71′
🔁 Marco Sangalli
↦ Viti Rozada
81′
🔁 Carlos Pomares
↦ Hugo Rama
Heriberto Tavares 🔁
↦ Paris Adot
82′
82′
🔁 S. Obeng
↦ Sergi Enrich
86′
🟨 Marco Sangalli
José Naranjo 🟨
90′
90′
🔁 Mangel Prendes
↦ Jimmy Suárez
1–1 Derik Lacerda
Dani Ojeda
93′
Derik Lacerda 🟨
94′
94′
🟨 David Costas
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ponferradina

4-4-2
13 G. Makaridze G
22 Paris Adot D
4 A. Pașcanu D
3 Adrián Diéguez D
16 Moi Delgado D
7 Dani Ojeda M
8 Agus Medina M
11 K. Nwakali M
23 Derik Lacerda M
10 Yuri F
19 Edu Espiau F
Bench (10)
26 Ibrahim Covi
20 José Naranjo
21 Ale Díez
17 Heriberto Tavares
15 Adrián Castellano
14 Ricard Pujol
31 N. Fedotov
32 M. Soumarè
24 S. Abdulai
2 Aldair

Coach: José Gomes

Oviedo

4-4-2
1 Q. Braat G
24 Lucas Ahijado D
4 David Costas D
12 Dani Calvo D
28 Abel Bretones D
7 Viti Rozada M
14 Jimmy Suárez M
5 Luismi M
20 Hugo Rama M
23 Sergi Enrich F
9 Borja Bastón F
Bench (8)
8 Marco Sangalli
21 Carlos Pomares
16 S. Obeng
31 Mangel Prendes
11 M. Flores
13 Tomeu Nadal
15 Oier Luengo
3 Rodri Tarín

Coach: Álvaro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,57
U ✓
3,00
B
2,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,38
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Aitor Gorostegui · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.