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Eliteserien
Referee: Tore Hansen
Kongsvinger
T S S S T
2–1
Full-time
Sandefjord
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kongsvinger Sandefjord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
This season — Eliteserien · 1/31 matches
Win Ø 12%
0%
23%
Points per game
0,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 94%
100%
87%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
68%
Average goals
4,0
3,7
Scored
0,0
1,5
Conceded
4,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-4,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
16 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 30 25 3 2 +46 78
2 Bodo/Glimt 30 18 6 6 +45 60
3 Rosenborg 30 16 8 6 +25 56
4 Lillestrom 30 16 5 9 +15 53
5 Odd 30 13 6 11 -2 45
6 Valerenga 30 13 5 12 +3 44
7 Tromso 30 10 13 7 -3 43
8 Sarpsborg 08 30 12 5 13 +3 41
9 Aalesund 30 10 9 11 -13 39
10 Haugesund 30 10 8 12 -4 38
11 Viking 30 9 8 13 -6 35
12 Stromsgodset 30 9 6 15 -11 33
13 Ham-Kam 30 6 13 11 -10 31
14 Sandefjord 31 7 6 18 -22 27
15 Kristiansund 30 5 8 17 -23 23
16 Jerv 30 5 5 20 -39 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kongsvinger Sandefjord
Lars Gerson 🟨
21′
30′
F. Nyenetue 0–1
M. Ofkir
Half-time 1–1
1–1 L. Langrekken
M. Bringaker
49′
Kristian Jahr 🟨
51′
54′
🟨 Albin Winbo
E. Taylor 🔁
↦ L. Gerson
66′
66′
🔁 D. Vega
↦ F. Nyenetue
66′
🔁 H. Singh
↦ A. Winbo
71′
🟨 Harmeet Singh
T. Bjørnebye 🔁
↦ M. Vinjor
74′
2–1 H. Holter
79′
D. Lysgård 🔁
↦ K. Jahr
80′
B. Pedersen 🔁
↦ M. Sjølstad
80′
80′
🔁 S. Gussiås
↦ A. Tveter
80′
🔁 Féderico Bikoro
↦ Rufo
82′
🟨 Mohamed Ofkir
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Kongsvinger

3-5-2
1 A. Strömberg G
19 K. Jahr D
10 L. Gerson M
2 T. Murray M
5 F. Holmé D
27 M. Sjølstad D
6 H. Holter M
23 M. Vinjor M
8 M. Andersen M
26 M. Bringaker F
22 L. Langrekken F
Bench (9)
7 E. Taylor
18 T. Bjørnebye
21 D. Lysgård
14 B. Pedersen
32 N. Jørgensen
24 O. Sandberg
15 M. Eriksen
30 P. Rusina
12 I. Solberg

Coach: E. Mæland

Sandefjord

4-3-3
1 J. Storevik G
2 M. Haakenstad D
18 F. Pålerud D
4 I. Smeulers D
15 J. Taaje D
8 W. Kurtović M
7 M. Ofkir F
27 A. Winbo M
14 A. Tveter F
28 Rufo M
20 F. Nyenetue F
Bench (9)
10 D. Vega
24 H. Singh
9 S. Gussiås
22 Féderico Bikoro
13 L. Markmanrud
23 K. Ayer
12 H. Keto
21 F. Flo
3 Q. Jansen

Coach: H. Ødegaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tore Hansen · 217 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.