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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: S Sinnes

Raufoss

S T S T S

0–1

Full-time

Fredrikstad

U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Raufoss Fredrikstad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,3

Scored

2,3

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 10/9 matches

Win Ø 42%

40%

44%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 79%

80%

78%

Both score Ø 84%

90%

78%

Average goals

4,1

3,4

Scored

2,2

2,0

Conceded

1,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Raufoss 7. · Fredrikstad 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ham-Kam	11	7	2	2	+13	23
2	Jerv	9	6	1	2	+1	19
3	Bryne	10	5	2	3	+3	17
4	Aalesund	10	5	2	3	+3	17
5	Asane	11	5	1	5	-1	16
6	Fredrikstad	9	4	3	2	+5	15
7	Raufoss	10	4	2	4	+3	14
8	Sogndal	10	3	3	4	+4	12
9	KFUM Oslo	8	3	3	2	+3	12
10	Grorud	10	3	3	4	-3	12
11	Strommen	10	2	5	3	-3	11
12	Ull/Kisa	10	3	2	5	-4	11
13	Sandnes ULF	10	2	4	4	-3	10
14	Start	10	3	1	6	-5	10
15	Ranheim	10	2	4	4	-6	10
16	Stjørdals-Blink	10	3	0	7	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ham-Kam	6	4	1	1	+8	13
2	Aalesund	5	4	1	0	+8	13
3	Raufoss	5	4	0	1	+7	12
4	Bryne	5	3	2	0	+5	11
5	KFUM Oslo	5	3	1	1	+4	10
6	Jerv	4	3	1	0	+3	10
7	Sogndal	6	2	3	1	+3	9
8	Stjørdals-Blink	5	3	0	2	+2	9
9	Strommen	5	2	2	1	+0	8
10	Ranheim	5	2	2	1	-1	8
11	Fredrikstad	4	2	1	1	+4	7
12	Ull/Kisa	5	2	1	2	+2	7
13	Asane	5	2	1	2	+1	7
14	Grorud	4	2	1	1	-1	7
15	Sandnes ULF	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Start	5	1	0	4	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ham-Kam	5	3	1	1	+5	10
2	Jerv	5	3	0	2	-2	9
3	Asane	6	3	0	3	-2	9
4	Fredrikstad	5	2	2	1	+1	8
5	Start	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Bryne	5	2	0	3	-2	6
7	Sandnes ULF	5	1	2	2	-1	5
8	Grorud	6	1	2	3	-2	5
9	Aalesund	5	1	1	3	-5	4
10	Ull/Kisa	5	1	1	3	-6	4
11	Sogndal	4	1	0	3	+1	3
12	Strommen	5	0	3	2	-3	3
13	KFUM Oslo	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Raufoss	5	0	2	3	-4	2
15	Ranheim	5	0	2	3	-5	2
16	Stjørdals-Blink	5	0	0	5	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.