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Coupe de France
Referee: W Delajod
0–7
Full-time
Paris SG
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pays de Cassel Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
This season — Coupe de France · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
1,3
3,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

41% Possession 59%
1 Shots 26
1 Shots on target 13
0 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 3
0 Offside 7
8 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pays de Cassel 35. · Paris SG 65.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 4 4 0 0 +10 12
2 Grenoble 4 4 0 0 +7 12
3 Annecy 4 3 1 0 +13 10
4 Vierzon FC 4 3 1 0 +9 10
5 Belfort 4 3 1 0 +6 10
6 Le Puy Foot 4 3 1 0 +4 10
7 Grasse 4 3 1 0 +4 10
8 Pau FC 4 3 0 1 +3 9
9 Stade Plabennec 4 3 0 1 +3 9
10 Dunkerque 3 2 1 0 +7 7
11 Les Herbiers 4 2 1 1 +5 7
12 Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 4 2 1 1 +1 7
13 Chambéry 4 2 1 1 +0 7
14 Niort 4 2 1 1 +0 7
15 Évreux 27 4 2 1 1 -2 7
16 Reims 2 2 0 0 +10 6
17 Toulouse 2 2 0 0 +8 6
18 Nimes 3 2 0 1 +6 6
19 Granville 3 2 0 1 +5 6
20 Lyon 2 2 0 0 +4 6
21 Lens 2 2 0 0 +4 6
22 Lille 2 2 0 0 +4 6
23 Bordeaux 3 2 0 1 +3 6
24 Bastia 4 1 3 0 +3 6
25 Thaon 4 1 3 0 +3 6
26 Marseille 2 2 0 0 +3 6
27 Chateauroux 3 2 0 1 +2 6
28 Metz 3 2 0 1 +1 6
29 Rodez 4 1 3 0 +1 6
30 Avranches 3 2 0 1 +1 6
31 Avoine OCC 3 2 0 1 +1 6
32 Olympique St Quentin 3 2 0 1 +0 6
33 La Châtaigneraie 3 2 0 1 -2 6
34 Amiens 3 1 2 0 +10 5
35 Pays de Cassel 3 1 2 0 +1 5
36 Chamalières 4 1 2 1 -1 5
37 Lorient 2 1 1 0 +6 4
38 Auxerre 2 1 1 0 +4 4
39 Sochaux 2 1 1 0 +3 4
40 Caen 2 1 1 0 +3 4
41 Reims Sainte-Anne 2 1 1 0 +3 4
42 Guingamp 2 1 1 0 +2 4
43 Saint-Estève Perpignan 2 1 1 0 +2 4
44 Limonest 2 1 1 0 +2 4
45 Nantes 2 1 1 0 +2 4
46 Bellevue Nantes 2 1 1 0 +2 4
47 Aubagne 3 1 1 1 +1 4
48 Valenciennes 3 1 1 1 +1 4
49 Jura Sud Foot 3 1 1 1 +1 4
50 Reipertswiller 2 1 1 0 +1 4
51 Drancy 2 1 1 0 +1 4
52 Bergerac 2 1 1 0 +1 4
53 Angers 2 1 1 0 +1 4
54 La Tamponnaise 3 1 1 1 +0 4
55 Wasquehal 3 1 1 1 -1 4
56 Linas-Montlhery 3 1 1 1 -1 4
57 Stade Pontivy 3 1 1 1 -2 4
58 Villerupt Thil 3 1 1 1 -3 4
59 Loon-Plage 3 1 1 1 -4 4
60 Gobelins 2 1 0 1 +4 3
61 Villefranche 2 1 0 1 +3 3
62 Epinal 2 1 0 1 +3 3
63 Louhans-Cuiseaux 2 1 0 1 +2 3
64 Rumilly Vallières 2 1 0 1 +2 3
65 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 +2 3
66 Thiers 2 1 0 1 +1 3
67 Châtellerault 2 1 0 1 +1 3
68 Olympique Marcquois 2 1 0 1 +1 3
69 Brest 2 1 0 1 +0 3
70 Lyon Duchere 2 1 0 1 +0 3
71 Colomiers 2 1 0 1 +0 3
72 Union Cosnoise 2 1 0 1 +0 3
73 Rennes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
74 Haguenau 2 1 0 1 +0 3
75 Onet-le-Château 2 1 0 1 +0 3
76 Roche Saint-Genest 2 1 0 1 +0 3
77 Bourges Foot 18 3 0 3 0 +0 3
78 Vire 3 1 0 2 -1 3
79 Boé Bon Encontre 2 1 0 1 -1 3
80 Ajaccio 2 1 0 1 -1 3
81 Marnaval 2 1 0 1 -1 3
82 Mâcon 2 1 0 1 -2 3
83 Feignies-Aulnoye 2 1 0 1 -2 3
84 Stade Béthunois 2 1 0 1 -3 3
85 Marcoussis Nozay 2 1 0 1 -5 3
86 Aiglon 2 1 0 1 -9 3
87 Alençon 2 0 2 0 +0 2
88 Oissel 2 0 2 0 +0 2
89 St-Pryvé St-Hilaire 2 0 2 0 +0 2
90 Plouvorn 2 0 2 0 +0 2
91 Hyères 3 0 2 1 -2 2
92 Vannes 3 0 2 1 -2 2
93 Lannion 3 0 2 1 -6 2
94 Le Havre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Monaco 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Olympique d'Alès 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Le Mans 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Alberes Argelès 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Red Star 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 Angoulême 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 Poissy 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 Laval 1 0 1 0 +0 1
104 Dijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
105 Toulon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
106 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
107 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
108 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 0 1 0 +0 1
109 Gueugnon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
110 Châteaubriant 1 0 1 0 +0 1
111 Fleury 91 1 0 1 0 +0 1
112 AC Paris 15 1 0 1 0 +0 1
113 Chambly Thelle FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
114 Le Geldar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
115 Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
116 Sporting Baie-Mahault 1 0 1 0 +0 1
117 St Etienne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
118 Strasbourg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
119 Prix-lès-Mézières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
120 Vitré 1 0 1 0 +0 1
121 Saint-Apollinaire 1 0 1 0 +0 1
122 Clermont 1 0 1 0 +0 1
123 Merpins 1 0 1 0 +0 1
124 Sablé 1 0 1 0 +0 1
125 Saint-Pierroise 1 0 1 0 +0 1
126 Trélissac 2 0 1 1 -1 1
127 Drapeau Fougères 2 0 1 1 -1 1
128 Orvault SF 2 0 1 1 -1 1
129 Aubervilliers 2 0 1 1 -1 1
130 Ergué-Gaberic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
131 Lège-Cap-Ferret 2 0 1 1 -3 1
132 Grand Santi 2 0 1 1 -3 1
133 Montauban TG 2 0 1 1 -4 1
134 Velay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Nancy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 Agde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 Le Pays du Valois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
138 Montpellier 1 0 0 1 -1 0
139 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 Golden Lion 1 0 0 1 -1 0
141 Feurs 1 0 0 1 -1 0
142 Savigneux Montbrison 1 0 0 1 -1 0
143 Biars-Bretenoux 1 0 0 1 -1 0
144 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
145 Escaudain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
146 Raon l'Etape 1 0 0 1 -1 0
147 Poitiers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
148 Nice 1 0 0 1 -1 0
149 Gallia Lucciana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
150 Mérignac-Arlac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
151 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
152 Saint-Priest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
153 Grand-Quevilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
154 Saint-Grégoire 1 0 0 1 -1 0
155 Éperlecques 1 0 0 1 -1 0
156 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
157 Chauray 1 0 0 1 -1 0
158 Gandrange 1 0 0 1 -1 0
159 NDC Angers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
160 SA Mérignac 1 0 0 1 -2 0
161 Les Ulis 1 0 0 1 -2 0
162 Vaulx 1 0 0 1 -2 0
163 Villers-lès-Nancy 1 0 0 1 -2 0
164 Saint-Doulchard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
165 Narbonne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
166 Cambrai 1 0 0 1 -2 0
167 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
168 Andrézieux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
169 Chartres-de-Bretagne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
170 Fréjus St-Raphaël 1 0 0 1 -2 0
171 Cournon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
172 Lescar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
173 Basse Goulaine 1 0 0 1 -2 0
174 Pont Saintte-Maxence 1 0 0 1 -2 0
175 Auray 1 0 0 1 -2 0
176 JA Armentières 1 0 0 1 -2 0
177 Vénissieux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
178 Bondues 1 0 0 1 -2 0
179 Geispolsheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
180 Illzach Modenheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
181 Téteghem 1 0 0 1 -3 0
182 Bastia-Borgo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
183 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
184 Salinieres Aigues Mortes 1 0 0 1 -3 0
185 Beauvais 1 0 0 1 -3 0
186 Sarre Union 1 0 0 1 -3 0
187 Vénus 1 0 0 1 -3 0
188 Stade Bordelais 1 0 0 1 -3 0
189 Saint-Louis Neuweg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
190 Séné 1 0 0 1 -3 0
191 Heillecourt 1 0 0 1 -4 0
192 Havre Caucriauville 1 0 0 1 -4 0
193 Mareuil 1 0 0 1 -5 0
194 Liancourt Clermont 1 0 0 1 -5 0
195 Tarentaise 1 0 0 1 -5 0
196 Diables Noirs 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.