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Coupe de France

Referee: B Dechepy

Chateauroux

T T U S S

1–3

Full-time

Paris SG

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chateauroux Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

4,2

Scored

1,2

2,7

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

37% Possession 63%

11 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 9

3 Blocked shots 1

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 9

1 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 10

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Grenoble	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Pau FC	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Annecy	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Granville	2	2	0	0	+8	6
6	Vierzon FC	2	2	0	0	+8	6
7	Dunkerque	2	2	0	0	+7	6
8	Nimes	3	2	0	1	+6	6
9	Bordeaux	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Chateauroux	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Belfort	2	2	0	0	+4	6
12	La Châtaigneraie	2	2	0	0	+4	6
13	Le Puy Foot	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	Avranches	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	Grasse	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	Olympique St Quentin	2	2	0	0	+2	6
17	Stade Plabennec	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	Strasbourg Koenigshoffen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
19	Metz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
20	Avoine OCC	2	2	0	0	+2	6
21	Évreux 27	3	2	0	1	-2	6
22	Amiens	2	1	1	0	+10	4
23	Les Herbiers	2	1	1	0	+5	4
24	Sochaux	2	1	1	0	+3	4
25	Aubagne	2	1	1	0	+3	4
26	Chamalières	2	1	1	0	+3	4
27	Caen	2	1	1	0	+3	4
28	Thaon	2	1	1	0	+3	4
29	Loon-Plage	2	1	1	0	+3	4
30	Reims Sainte-Anne	2	1	1	0	+3	4
31	Bastia	2	1	1	0	+3	4
32	Jura Sud Foot	2	1	1	0	+2	4
33	Villerupt Thil	2	1	1	0	+2	4
34	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+2	4
35	Saint-Estève Perpignan	2	1	1	0	+2	4
36	Limonest	2	1	1	0	+2	4
37	Bellevue Nantes	2	1	1	0	+2	4
38	Valenciennes	3	1	1	1	+1	4
39	Reipertswiller	2	1	1	0	+1	4
40	Chambéry	2	1	1	0	+1	4
41	Pays de Cassel	2	1	1	0	+1	4
42	Linas-Montlhery	2	1	1	0	+1	4
43	Drancy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
44	Bergerac	2	1	1	0	+1	4
45	Niort	2	1	1	0	+1	4
46	Rodez	2	1	1	0	+1	4
47	Stade Pontivy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
48	La Tamponnaise	2	1	1	0	+1	4
49	Gobelins	2	1	0	1	+4	3
50	Villefranche	2	1	0	1	+3	3
51	Epinal	2	1	0	1	+3	3
52	Louhans-Cuiseaux	2	1	0	1	+2	3
53	Rumilly Vallières	2	1	0	1	+2	3
54	Thiers	2	1	0	1	+1	3
55	Châtellerault	2	1	0	1	+1	3
56	Vire	2	1	0	1	+1	3
57	Olympique Marcquois	2	1	0	1	+1	3
58	Lyon Duchere	2	1	0	1	+0	3
59	Colomiers	2	1	0	1	+0	3
60	Union Cosnoise	2	1	0	1	+0	3
61	Haguenau	2	1	0	1	+0	3
62	Onet-le-Château	2	1	0	1	+0	3
63	Roche Saint-Genest	2	1	0	1	+0	3
64	Boé Bon Encontre	2	1	0	1	-1	3
65	Marnaval	2	1	0	1	-1	3
66	Wasquehal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
67	Mâcon	2	1	0	1	-2	3
68	Feignies-Aulnoye	2	1	0	1	-2	3
69	Stade Béthunois	2	1	0	1	-3	3
70	Marcoussis Nozay	2	1	0	1	-5	3
71	Aiglon	2	1	0	1	-9	3
72	Alençon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
73	Hyères	2	0	2	0	+0	2
74	Oissel	2	0	2	0	+0	2
75	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	2	0	2	0	+0	2
76	Vannes	2	0	2	0	+0	2
77	Lannion	2	0	2	0	+0	2
78	Bourges Foot 18	2	0	2	0	+0	2
79	Plouvorn	2	0	2	0	+0	2
80	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
81	Saint-Malo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
82	Olympique d'Alès	1	0	1	0	+0	1
83	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
84	Alberes Argelès	1	0	1	0	+0	1
85	Angoulême	1	0	1	0	+0	1
86	Poissy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
87	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
88	Dijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
89	Toulon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
90	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
91	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
92	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	0	1	0	+0	1
93	Red Star	1	0	1	0	+0	1
94	Gueugnon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
95	Châteaubriant	1	0	1	0	+0	1
96	Fleury 91	1	0	1	0	+0	1
97	AC Paris 15	1	0	1	0	+0	1
98	Chambly Thelle FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
99	Le Geldar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
100	Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
101	Sporting Baie-Mahault	1	0	1	0	+0	1
102	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
103	Prix-lès-Mézières	1	0	1	0	+0	1
104	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
105	Saint-Apollinaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
106	Merpins	1	0	1	0	+0	1
107	Sablé	1	0	1	0	+0	1
108	Saint-Pierroise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
109	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
110	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
111	Trélissac	2	0	1	1	-1	1
112	Drapeau Fougères	2	0	1	1	-1	1
113	Orvault SF	2	0	1	1	-1	1
114	Aubervilliers	2	0	1	1	-1	1
115	Ergué-Gaberic	2	0	1	1	-1	1
116	Lège-Cap-Ferret	2	0	1	1	-3	1
117	Grand Santi	2	0	1	1	-3	1
118	Montauban TG	2	0	1	1	-4	1
119	Velay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
120	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
121	Agde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
122	Le Pays du Valois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
123	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-1	0
124	Golden Lion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
125	Feurs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
126	Savigneux Montbrison	1	0	0	1	-1	0
127	Biars-Bretenoux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
128	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
129	Escaudain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
130	Raon l'Etape	1	0	0	1	-1	0
131	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
132	Poitiers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
133	Gallia Lucciana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
134	Mérignac-Arlac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
135	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
136	Saint-Priest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
137	Grand-Quevilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
138	Saint-Grégoire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
139	Éperlecques	1	0	0	1	-1	0
140	Cholet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
141	Chauray	1	0	0	1	-1	0
142	Gandrange	1	0	0	1	-1	0
143	NDC Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
144	SA Mérignac	1	0	0	1	-2	0
145	Les Ulis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
146	Vaulx	1	0	0	1	-2	0
147	Villers-lès-Nancy	1	0	0	1	-2	0
148	Saint-Doulchard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
149	Narbonne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
150	Cambrai	1	0	0	1	-2	0
151	Andrézieux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
152	Chartres-de-Bretagne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
153	Fréjus St-Raphaël	1	0	0	1	-2	0
154	Cournon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
155	Lescar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
156	Basse Goulaine	1	0	0	1	-2	0
157	Pont Saintte-Maxence	1	0	0	1	-2	0
158	Auray	1	0	0	1	-2	0
159	JA Armentières	1	0	0	1	-2	0
160	Vénissieux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
161	Bondues	1	0	0	1	-2	0
162	Geispolsheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
163	Illzach Modenheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
164	Téteghem	1	0	0	1	-3	0
165	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
166	Salinieres Aigues Mortes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
167	Beauvais	1	0	0	1	-3	0
168	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
169	Bastia-Borgo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
170	Vénus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
171	Stade Bordelais	1	0	0	1	-3	0
172	Saint-Louis Neuweg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
173	Séné	1	0	0	1	-3	0
174	Heillecourt	1	0	0	1	-4	0
175	Havre Caucriauville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
176	Mareuil	1	0	0	1	-5	0
177	Liancourt Clermont	1	0	0	1	-5	0
178	Tarentaise	1	0	0	1	-5	0
179	Diables Noirs	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Grenoble	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Strasbourg Koenigshoffen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Chamalières	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Jura Sud Foot	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Villerupt Thil	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Saint-Estève Perpignan	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Bellevue Nantes	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Chambéry	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Pays de Cassel	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+10	3
11	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+7	3
12	Granville	1	1	0	0	+6	3
13	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Nimes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Rumilly Vallières	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Reims Sainte-Anne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Le Puy Foot	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Thiers	2	1	0	1	+1	3
20	Châtellerault	2	1	0	1	+1	3
21	Reipertswiller	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Olympique Marcquois	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	Olympique St Quentin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Linas-Montlhery	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Évreux 27	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Stade Plabennec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	La Tamponnaise	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Haguenau	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Onet-le-Château	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Roche Saint-Genest	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Feignies-Aulnoye	2	1	0	1	-2	3
33	Marcoussis Nozay	2	1	0	1	-5	3
34	Alençon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
35	Oissel	2	0	2	0	+0	2
36	Bourges Foot 18	2	0	2	0	+0	2
37	Plouvorn	2	0	2	0	+0	2
38	Saint-Malo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Hyères	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Thaon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Les Herbiers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Angoulême	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Toulon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Aubervilliers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Vannes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Valenciennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Châteaubriant	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Fleury 91	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	AC Paris 15	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Chambly Thelle FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Le Geldar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Prix-lès-Mézières	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Merpins	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Saint-Pierroise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Bergerac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Drapeau Fougères	2	0	1	1	-1	1
62	Orvault SF	2	0	1	1	-1	1
63	Montauban TG	2	0	1	1	-4	1
64	Velay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Agde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Lyon Duchere	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Trélissac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Golden Lion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Biars-Bretenoux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Raon l'Etape	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Ergué-Gaberic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Poitiers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Gallia Lucciana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Mérignac-Arlac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Saint-Priest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Saint-Grégoire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Éperlecques	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Chauray	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Epinal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Colomiers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	NDC Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Les Ulis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Saint-Doulchard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Chartres-de-Bretagne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Cournon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Lescar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Pont Saintte-Maxence	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Auray	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	JA Armentières	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Vénissieux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Bondues	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Union Cosnoise	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Geispolsheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
94	Illzach Modenheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
95	Téteghem	1	0	0	1	-3	0
96	Boé Bon Encontre	1	0	0	1	-3	0
97	Lège-Cap-Ferret	1	0	0	1	-3	0
98	Salinieres Aigues Mortes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
99	Beauvais	1	0	0	1	-3	0
100	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
101	Vénus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	Stade Bordelais	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Séné	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Marnaval	1	0	0	1	-3	0
105	Grand Santi	1	0	0	1	-3	0
106	Vire	1	0	0	1	-3	0
107	Heillecourt	1	0	0	1	-4	0
108	Havre Caucriauville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
109	Stade Béthunois	1	0	0	1	-4	0
110	Mareuil	1	0	0	1	-5	0
111	Liancourt Clermont	1	0	0	1	-5	0
112	Tarentaise	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vierzon FC	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Dunkerque	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Bordeaux	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Chateauroux	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Paris FC	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Belfort	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Pau FC	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	La Châtaigneraie	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Avranches	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Grasse	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Metz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
12	Avoine OCC	2	2	0	0	+2	6
13	Aubagne	2	1	1	0	+3	4
14	Caen	2	1	1	0	+3	4
15	Loon-Plage	2	1	1	0	+3	4
16	Bastia	2	1	1	0	+3	4
17	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+2	4
18	Limonest	2	1	1	0	+2	4
19	Drancy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
20	Niort	2	1	1	0	+1	4
21	Rodez	2	1	1	0	+1	4
22	Stade Pontivy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
23	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+5	3
24	Gobelins	2	1	0	1	+4	3
25	Epinal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
26	Vire	1	1	0	0	+4	3
27	Villefranche	2	1	0	1	+3	3
28	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+3	3
30	Thaon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	Louhans-Cuiseaux	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Granville	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Union Cosnoise	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Boé Bon Encontre	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Marnaval	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Valenciennes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Colomiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Le Puy Foot	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Bergerac	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Stade Plabennec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Lyon Duchere	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Stade Béthunois	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Olympique St Quentin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Wasquehal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Mâcon	2	1	0	1	-2	3
47	Évreux 27	2	1	0	1	-3	3
48	Aiglon	2	1	0	1	-9	3
49	Lannion	2	0	2	0	+0	2
50	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Olympique d'Alès	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Alberes Argelès	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Sochaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Trélissac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Poissy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Dijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Red Star	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Gueugnon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Reims Sainte-Anne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Linas-Montlhery	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Amiens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Grand Santi	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Sporting Baie-Mahault	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Reipertswiller	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Hyères	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Ergué-Gaberic	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Saint-Apollinaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	Lège-Cap-Ferret	1	0	1	0	+0	1
75	Sablé	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	La Tamponnaise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Vannes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
78	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
79	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Le Pays du Valois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Feurs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Savigneux Montbrison	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Escaudain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Rumilly Vallières	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Grand-Quevilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Cholet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Gandrange	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Aubervilliers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	SA Mérignac	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	Vaulx	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Villers-lès-Nancy	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	Narbonne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Cambrai	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Andrézieux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Fréjus St-Raphaël	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Basse Goulaine	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	Bastia-Borgo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Saint-Louis Neuweg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Diables Noirs	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.