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Ligue 1
Referee: E Wattellier
Paris SG
S S S T S
2–0
Full-time
Angers
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,5
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,7
1,7
Scored
2,5
0,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 47%
82%
12%
Points per game
2,6
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
71%
71%
Both score Ø 53%
47%
59%
Average goals
3,5
3,1
Scored
2,7
0,9
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,9
-1,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

66% Possession 34%
9 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 1
3 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Angers 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 17 14 2 1 +33 44
2 Lens 17 12 4 1 +18 40
3 Marseille 17 11 3 3 +19 36
4 Rennes 18 10 4 4 +15 34
5 Monaco 17 10 3 4 +10 33
6 Lille 18 9 4 5 +6 31
7 Lorient 17 9 4 4 +4 31
8 Lyon 18 7 4 7 +6 25
9 Clermont 18 7 4 7 -4 25
10 Reims 18 5 9 4 -2 24
11 Toulouse 18 6 4 8 -5 22
12 Nice 17 5 6 6 -3 21
13 Troyes 17 4 6 7 -4 18
14 Nantes 18 3 9 6 -6 18
15 Montpellier 17 5 2 10 -4 17
16 Ajaccio 18 4 3 11 -12 15
17 Brest 18 3 5 10 -15 14
18 Auxerre 18 3 4 11 -24 13
19 Strasbourg 17 1 8 8 -11 11
20 Angers 17 2 2 13 -21 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris SG Angers
1–0 H. Ekitike
N. Mukiele
5′
Half-time 1–0
53′
🟨 Pierrick Capelle
61′
🔁 A. Salama
↦ A. Hunou
62′
🔁 S. Boufal
↦ H. Abdelli
62′
🔁 F. El Melali
↦ P. Capelle
2–0 L. Messi
N. Mukiele
72′
Lionel Messi ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
73′
Carlos Soler 🔁
↦ H. Ekitike
79′
W. Zaïre-Emery 🔁
↦ Fabián Ruiz
79′
80′
🔁 S. Thioub
↦ A. Sima
80′
🔁 W. Taibi
↦ B. Mendy
E. Bitshiabu 🔁
↦ Vitinha
86′
89′
🟨 Miha Blažič
Neymar 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Paris SG

3-4-2-1
99 G. Donnarumma G
4 Sergio Ramos D
5 Marquinhos D
15 Danilo Pereira D
26 N. Mukiele M
8 Fabián Ruiz M
17 Vitinha M
14 Juan Bernat M
30 L. Messi F
10 Neymar F
44 H. Ekitike F
Bench (9)
28 Carlos Soler
33 W. Zaïre-Emery
31 E. Bitshiabu
37 I. Housni
35 Ismaël Gharbi
16 Sergio Rico
19 Pablo Sarabia
36 A. Kari
1 K. Navas

Coach: C. Galtier

Angers

4-2-3-1
1 P. Bernardoni G
25 A. Bamba D
22 C. Hountondji D
5 M. Blažič D
3 S. Doumbia D
2 B. Mendy M
6 N. Bentaleb M
15 P. Capelle M
23 A. Hunou M
10 H. Abdelli M
19 A. Sima F
Bench (9)
11 A. Salama
7 S. Boufal
28 F. El Melali
92 S. Thioub
26 W. Taibi
29 O. Camara
24 J. Bahoya
37 L. Rao-Lisoa
40 T. Borne

Coach: A. Bouhazama

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,12
U
10,38
B
19,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,25
U2,5 ✓
3,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.