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Coupe de France
Referee: M Mokhtari
Pays de Cassel
S U
1–1
Full-time
Wasquehal
S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pays de Cassel Wasquehal
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — Coupe de France · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Pays de Cassel 41. · Wasquehal 78. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Annecy 3 3 0 0 +13 9
2 Vierzon FC 3 3 0 0 +9 9
3 Paris FC 3 3 0 0 +6 9
4 Belfort 3 3 0 0 +6 9
5 Grenoble 3 3 0 0 +6 9
6 Pau FC 3 3 0 0 +5 9
7 Le Puy Foot 3 3 0 0 +4 9
8 Stade Plabennec 3 3 0 0 +4 9
9 Grasse 3 3 0 0 +4 9
10 Les Herbiers 3 2 1 0 +8 7
11 Dunkerque 3 2 1 0 +7 7
12 Niort 3 2 1 0 +4 7
13 Chambéry 3 2 1 0 +3 7
14 Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 3 2 1 0 +2 7
15 Évreux 27 4 2 1 1 -2 7
16 Nimes 3 2 0 1 +6 6
17 Granville 3 2 0 1 +5 6
18 Bordeaux 3 2 0 1 +3 6
19 Chateauroux 3 2 0 1 +2 6
20 Metz 3 2 0 1 +1 6
21 Avranches 3 2 0 1 +1 6
22 Avoine OCC 3 2 0 1 +1 6
23 Olympique St Quentin 3 2 0 1 +0 6
24 La Châtaigneraie 3 2 0 1 -2 6
25 Amiens 3 1 2 0 +10 5
26 Chamalières 3 1 2 0 +3 5
27 Thaon 3 1 2 0 +3 5
28 Bastia 3 1 2 0 +3 5
29 Rodez 3 1 2 0 +1 5
30 Sochaux 2 1 1 0 +3 4
31 Caen 2 1 1 0 +3 4
32 Reims Sainte-Anne 2 1 1 0 +3 4
33 Guingamp 2 1 1 0 +2 4
34 Saint-Estève Perpignan 2 1 1 0 +2 4
35 Limonest 2 1 1 0 +2 4
36 Bellevue Nantes 2 1 1 0 +2 4
37 Aubagne 3 1 1 1 +1 4
38 Valenciennes 3 1 1 1 +1 4
39 Jura Sud Foot 3 1 1 1 +1 4
40 Reipertswiller 2 1 1 0 +1 4
41 Pays de Cassel 2 1 1 0 +1 4
42 Drancy 2 1 1 0 +1 4
43 Bergerac 2 1 1 0 +1 4
44 La Tamponnaise 3 1 1 1 +0 4
45 Linas-Montlhery 3 1 1 1 -1 4
46 Stade Pontivy 3 1 1 1 -2 4
47 Villerupt Thil 3 1 1 1 -3 4
48 Loon-Plage 3 1 1 1 -4 4
49 Reims 1 1 0 0 +7 3
50 Toulouse 1 1 0 0 +6 3
51 Lorient 1 1 0 0 +6 3
52 Gobelins 2 1 0 1 +4 3
53 Villefranche 2 1 0 1 +3 3
54 Epinal 2 1 0 1 +3 3
55 Louhans-Cuiseaux 2 1 0 1 +2 3
56 Rumilly Vallières 2 1 0 1 +2 3
57 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 +2 3
58 Marseille 1 1 0 0 +2 3
59 Lille 1 1 0 0 +2 3
60 Brest 1 1 0 0 +2 3
61 Lens 1 1 0 0 +2 3
62 Nantes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
63 Thiers 2 1 0 1 +1 3
64 Châtellerault 2 1 0 1 +1 3
65 Olympique Marcquois 2 1 0 1 +1 3
66 Lyon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
67 Rennes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
68 Ajaccio 1 1 0 0 +1 3
69 Lyon Duchere 2 1 0 1 +0 3
70 Colomiers 2 1 0 1 +0 3
71 Union Cosnoise 2 1 0 1 +0 3
72 Haguenau 2 1 0 1 +0 3
73 Onet-le-Château 2 1 0 1 +0 3
74 Roche Saint-Genest 2 1 0 1 +0 3
75 Bourges Foot 18 3 0 3 0 +0 3
76 Vire 3 1 0 2 -1 3
77 Boé Bon Encontre 2 1 0 1 -1 3
78 Wasquehal 2 1 0 1 -1 3
79 Marnaval 2 1 0 1 -1 3
80 Mâcon 2 1 0 1 -2 3
81 Feignies-Aulnoye 2 1 0 1 -2 3
82 Stade Béthunois 2 1 0 1 -3 3
83 Marcoussis Nozay 2 1 0 1 -5 3
84 Aiglon 2 1 0 1 -9 3
85 Alençon 2 0 2 0 +0 2
86 Oissel 2 0 2 0 +0 2
87 St-Pryvé St-Hilaire 2 0 2 0 +0 2
88 Plouvorn 2 0 2 0 +0 2
89 Hyères 3 0 2 1 -2 2
90 Vannes 3 0 2 1 -2 2
91 Lannion 3 0 2 1 -6 2
92 Le Havre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
93 Monaco 1 0 1 0 +0 1
94 Auxerre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 Olympique d'Alès 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Le Mans 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Alberes Argelès 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Red Star 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Angoulême 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 Poissy 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 Laval 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 Dijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
104 Toulon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
105 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
106 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
107 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 0 1 0 +0 1
108 Gueugnon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
109 Châteaubriant 1 0 1 0 +0 1
110 Fleury 91 1 0 1 0 +0 1
111 AC Paris 15 1 0 1 0 +0 1
112 Chambly Thelle FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
113 Le Geldar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
114 Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
115 Sporting Baie-Mahault 1 0 1 0 +0 1
116 St Etienne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
117 Strasbourg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
118 Angers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
119 Prix-lès-Mézières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
120 Vitré 1 0 1 0 +0 1
121 Saint-Apollinaire 1 0 1 0 +0 1
122 Clermont 1 0 1 0 +0 1
123 Merpins 1 0 1 0 +0 1
124 Sablé 1 0 1 0 +0 1
125 Saint-Pierroise 1 0 1 0 +0 1
126 Trélissac 2 0 1 1 -1 1
127 Drapeau Fougères 2 0 1 1 -1 1
128 Orvault SF 2 0 1 1 -1 1
129 Aubervilliers 2 0 1 1 -1 1
130 Ergué-Gaberic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
131 Lège-Cap-Ferret 2 0 1 1 -3 1
132 Grand Santi 2 0 1 1 -3 1
133 Montauban TG 2 0 1 1 -4 1
134 Velay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Nancy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 Agde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 Le Pays du Valois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
138 Montpellier 1 0 0 1 -1 0
139 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 Golden Lion 1 0 0 1 -1 0
141 Feurs 1 0 0 1 -1 0
142 Savigneux Montbrison 1 0 0 1 -1 0
143 Biars-Bretenoux 1 0 0 1 -1 0
144 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
145 Escaudain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
146 Raon l'Etape 1 0 0 1 -1 0
147 Poitiers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
148 Nice 1 0 0 1 -1 0
149 Gallia Lucciana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
150 Mérignac-Arlac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
151 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
152 Saint-Priest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
153 Grand-Quevilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
154 Saint-Grégoire 1 0 0 1 -1 0
155 Éperlecques 1 0 0 1 -1 0
156 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
157 Chauray 1 0 0 1 -1 0
158 Gandrange 1 0 0 1 -1 0
159 NDC Angers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
160 SA Mérignac 1 0 0 1 -2 0
161 Les Ulis 1 0 0 1 -2 0
162 Vaulx 1 0 0 1 -2 0
163 Villers-lès-Nancy 1 0 0 1 -2 0
164 Saint-Doulchard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
165 Narbonne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
166 Cambrai 1 0 0 1 -2 0
167 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
168 Andrézieux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
169 Chartres-de-Bretagne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
170 Fréjus St-Raphaël 1 0 0 1 -2 0
171 Cournon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
172 Lescar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
173 Basse Goulaine 1 0 0 1 -2 0
174 Pont Saintte-Maxence 1 0 0 1 -2 0
175 Auray 1 0 0 1 -2 0
176 JA Armentières 1 0 0 1 -2 0
177 Vénissieux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
178 Bondues 1 0 0 1 -2 0
179 Geispolsheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
180 Illzach Modenheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
181 Téteghem 1 0 0 1 -3 0
182 Bastia-Borgo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
183 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
184 Salinieres Aigues Mortes 1 0 0 1 -3 0
185 Beauvais 1 0 0 1 -3 0
186 Sarre Union 1 0 0 1 -3 0
187 Vénus 1 0 0 1 -3 0
188 Stade Bordelais 1 0 0 1 -3 0
189 Saint-Louis Neuweg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
190 Séné 1 0 0 1 -3 0
191 Heillecourt 1 0 0 1 -4 0
192 Havre Caucriauville 1 0 0 1 -4 0
193 Mareuil 1 0 0 1 -5 0
194 Liancourt Clermont 1 0 0 1 -5 0
195 Tarentaise 1 0 0 1 -5 0
196 Diables Noirs 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pays de Cassel Wasquehal
40′
🔁 N. Belaggoune
↦ F. Hassani
Half-time 0–0
M. Valdher 🔁
↦ C. Delcourt
68′
69′
🔁 E. Daoud
↦ K. Dansoko
69′
🔁 J. Darghal
↦ Y. Bensaber
M. Dron 🔁
↦ C. Boudjema
71′
H. Dubreucq 🔁
↦ C. Rapaille
81′
K. Rudent 🔁
↦ L. Thoor
82′
83′
⚽ A. Bouzar 0–1
J. Darghal
1–1 A. Zmijak ⚽
C. Bogdanski
90′
93′
🔁 G. Cabaye
↦ N. Akli
93′
🔁 C. Halucha
↦ A. Majid
121′
⚽ G. Cabaye 1–2
2–2 A. Zmijak ⚽
122′
123′
⚽ I. Bouleghcha 2–3
3–3 K. Sané ⚽
124′
125′
❌ A. Bouzar
penalty missed
M. Valdher ❌
penalty missed
126′
127′
⚽ Z. Haouari 3–4
4–4 A. Leganase ⚽
128′
129′
⚽ N. Belaggoune 4–5
5–5 B. Leclerc ⚽
130′
131′
❌ E. Daoud
penalty missed
6–5 K. Rudent ⚽
132′
Full-time 6–5

Line-ups

Pays de Cassel

1 R. Samson
2 D. Santrain
5 A. Zmijak
4 L. Thoor
6 B. Leclerc
10 C. Bogdanski
8 C. Boudjema
11 K. Sané
3 C. Rapaille
9 A. Leganase
7 C. Delcourt
Bench (9)
14 M. Valdher
13 M. Dron
15 H. Dubreucq
12 K. Rudent
19 A. Bogdanski
16 E. Clausi
18 E. Secq
20 J. Denaes
17 E. Djelema

Coach: S. Goethals

Wasquehal

1 S. Atrous
6 N. Akli
4 V. Wojtkowiak
3 I. Bouleghcha
5 Z. Haouari
9 K. Dansoko
8 A. Majid
11 A. Bouzar
2 Y. Nkou
10 F. Hassani
7 Y. Bensaber
Bench (8)
17 N. Belaggoune
19 E. Daoud
13 J. Darghal
12 G. Cabaye
14 C. Halucha
16 J. Hamache
18 C. Kiaku
20 M. Loore

Coach: M. Izeghouine

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.