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Coupe de France

Referee: N Rainville

Hienghène Sport

0–4

Full-time

Thionville Lusitanos

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Laval	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Orleans	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Lyon Duchere	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Hauts Lyonnais	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Entente Itancourt-Neu.	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Chateauroux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Epinal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Dunkerque	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Feignies-Aulnoye	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Saint-Meziery	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Stade Briochin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Villejuif	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Canet Roussillon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Chaponnay-Marennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Hyères	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Croix Football IC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Red Star	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Jura Sud Foot	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Avranches	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Villefranche	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Bondues	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Pirae	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Neuville	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Lavernose Lherm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
40	Provin	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon Duchere	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Hauts Lyonnais	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Entente Itancourt-Neu.	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Chateauroux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Epinal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Saint-Meziery	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Stade Briochin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Villejuif	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Canet Roussillon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Chaponnay-Marennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Villefranche	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Bondues	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Lavernose Lherm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Provin	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Laval	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Orleans	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Dunkerque	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Feignies-Aulnoye	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Hyères	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Croix Football IC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Red Star	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Jura Sud Foot	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Avranches	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Pirae	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Neuville	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hienghène Sport Thionville Lusitanos

16′

⚽ C. Gourichy 0–1

Half-time 0–1

46′

🔁 L. Pignatone

↦ C. Gourichy

J. Décoiré 🔁

↦ D. Djaiwe

57′

72′

🔁 I. Baradji

↦ J. Belgacem

72′

🔁 I. Sylla

↦ T. Jacquel

J. Ihily 🔁

↦ I. Bamy

74′

B. Kaï 🔁

↦ A. Roiné

74′

77′

⚽ I. Sylla 0–2

80′

🔁 J. Lauratet

↦ M. De Taddeo

80′

🔁 N. Caloiero

↦ M. Groune

82′

⚽ L. Pignatone 0–3

86′

⚽ M. Groune 0–4

E. Kayara 🔁

↦ C. Tijitma

92′

Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Hienghène Sport

R. Nyikeine

R. Kayara

W. Yentao

I. Bamy

C. Tijitma

F. Ranchain

C. Sansot

D. Djaiwe

B. Dahité

A. Roiné

J. Wetria

Bench (6)

J. Décoiré

J. Ihily

B. Kaï

E. Kayara

J. Nyikeine

N. Bouanou

Coach: F. Tagawa

Thionville Lusitanos

A. Zimmermann

M. Borger

M. De Taddeo

J. Belgacem

S. Bouzar

V. Collet

V. Poinsignon

C. Gourichy

R. Habbas

M. Groune

T. Jacquel

Bench (7)

L. Pignatone

I. Baradji

I. Sylla

J. Lauratet

N. Caloiero

M. Steiger

T. Junker

Coach: J. François

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

29. Oct CDF 3 years ago

Referee

N Rainville · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

3,7 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

26,1 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,41 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Hienghène Sport

Thionville Lusitanos

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee