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Coupe de France

Referee: M Apruzzese

Blagnac

1–0

Full-time

Bayonne

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dijon	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Olympique d'Alès	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Laval	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Thionville Lusitanos	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Orleans	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Lyon Duchere	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Caen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Rodez	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Martigues	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Valenciennes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Hauts Lyonnais	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Entente Itancourt-Neu.	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Chateauroux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Epinal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Coulaines	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Plessis Robinson 92	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Sarre Union	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Dunkerque	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Union Cosnoise	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Feignies-Aulnoye	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Saint-Meziery	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Stade Briochin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Villejuif	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Thonon Évian	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Aubagne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Canet Roussillon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Limonest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Domerat	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Chaponnay-Marennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Hyères	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Croix Football IC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Red Star	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Jura Sud Foot	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Avranches	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Villefranche	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Cholet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Brissac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Fos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	APM Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Chantilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Bondues	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Pirae	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Velay	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Haguenau	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Neuville	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Loon-Plage	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Liffré	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	Lavernose Lherm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	Rosador	1	0	0	1	-5	0
67	Provin	1	0	0	1	-5	0
68	Doullens	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympique d'Alès	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Lyon Duchere	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Hauts Lyonnais	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Entente Itancourt-Neu.	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Chateauroux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Epinal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Coulaines	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Plessis Robinson 92	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Sarre Union	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Union Cosnoise	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Saint-Meziery	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Stade Briochin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Villejuif	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Thonon Évian	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Canet Roussillon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Limonest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Chaponnay-Marennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Villefranche	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Fos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Bondues	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Velay	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Haguenau	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	Loon-Plage	1	0	0	1	-3	0
29	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1	0	0	1	-3	0
30	Liffré	1	0	0	1	-3	0
31	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-4	0
32	Lavernose Lherm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
33	Provin	1	0	0	1	-5	0
34	Doullens	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dijon	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Laval	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Thionville Lusitanos	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Orleans	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Caen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Rodez	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Martigues	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Valenciennes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Dunkerque	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Feignies-Aulnoye	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Aubagne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Domerat	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Hyères	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Croix Football IC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Red Star	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Jura Sud Foot	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Avranches	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Cholet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Brissac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	APM Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Chantilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Pirae	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Neuville	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	Rosador	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blagnac Bayonne

Half-time 0–0

46′

🔁 M. Fari

↦ T. Lucbert

64′

🟥

R. Lacroix 🔁

↦ R. Roldan

65′

69′

🔁 E. Sanha

↦ H. Dellas

K. Zalmate 🔁

↦ A. Boujamaa

78′

I. Sow 🔁

↦ Y. Tairi

79′

N. Boriés 🔁

↦ D. Quenet

79′

83′

🔁 L. Manga Tabi

↦ R. Renard

85′

🔁 D. Chailleux

↦ A. Attoukora

85′

🔁 P. Sakho

↦ R. Thomas

1–0 B. Diakité ⚽

86′

🟥

93′

Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Blagnac

F. Baba Alla

R. Roldan

S. Abbani

G. Osei Yaw

N. Ranem

I. Lamhaf

D. Santisteva

Y. Tairi

A. Boujamaa

D. Quenet

B. Diakité

Bench (7)

R. Lacroix

K. Zalmate

I. Sow

N. Boriés

E. Garrido

I. Debart

F. Borderie

Coach: A. Bénédet

Bayonne

A. Hunou

H. Chergui

I. Cissé

R. Thomas

R. Renard

B. Hadraoui

T. Lucbert

N. Diaby

H. Dellas

A. Attoukora

Q. Hitte

Bench (7)

M. Fari

E. Sanha

L. Manga Tabi

D. Chailleux

P. Sakho

J. Yoncourt

P. Gloire Youlou

Coach: L. Bordagaray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5

–

🔒

U1,5 ✓

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Blagnac

Bayonne

Odds comparison

Recent matches